KNR Constructions LtdQ4 FY25

KNR Constructions Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 135P/E: 8.6Market Cap: ₹3.7K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • For FY '25, KNR Constructions expects a 10% to 15% decline in revenue compared to previous years.
  • FY '26 revenue is targeted at around INR 3,500 crores to INR 4,000 crores, showing modest growth over FY '25.
  • FY '27 is expected to see better growth driven by new project executions from order inflows in FY '26.
  • The company targets an order book inflow of INR 8,000 crores to INR 10,000 crores within 3 to 4 months (by Q1 FY '26).
  • Increased order book from sectors like highways, irrigation projects (especially in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana), mining operations, and urban infrastructure projects.
  • HAM projects and EPC model projects are expected to contribute significantly from FY '26 onwards.
  • Overall, KNR is optimistic about higher revenues starting FY '27 due to the strong order pipeline and execution ramp-up.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • FY '25 expected 10%-15% revenue decline due to lower order book and project slowdowns.
  • FY '26 revenue targeted around INR 3,500 to INR 4,000 crores with similar or slightly improved bottom line margins (~15% EBITDA margin).
  • FY '27 projected to see significant growth driven by new order inflows of INR 8,000 to 10,000 crores expected within early FY '26.
  • EBITDA margins expected in the range of 15%-16% going forward.
  • Net profit growth in 9 months FY '25 was 142% YoY, reflecting strong recovery from claims and operational efficiencies.
  • Ongoing efforts to monetize HAM portfolio and recover INR 600 crores irrigation dues may boost free cash flow and profits.
  • Order book inflows and execution visibility improve, which should support higher operating earnings and EPS in FY '27 onward.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company’s stand-alone debt is around INR 27 crores and consolidated debt is INR 1,486 crores as of December 2024.
  • Stand-alone cash is INR 19 crores and consolidated cash is INR 87 crores.
  • The company is targeting to receive an order book of INR 8,000 to 10,000 crores in the next 3 to 4 months.
  • Based on the receipt of LOA and mobilization, the company will rework on the capex requirements for the next year.
  • Current 9 months capex is around INR 20 crores, and for the existing order book, the company may not look at additional capex.
  • There is a mention of an equity investment requirement of around INR 400 crores related to future projects, including irrigation and HAM projects.
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity yet; focus appears on efficient cash management and project funding through mobilization and claims.

Order book

Yes
  • As of December 31, 2024, KNR Constructions Limited's total order book stands at INR 3,888 crores.
  • This includes 46% EPC road and HAM projects, 26% irrigation projects, and 28% pipeline projects.
  • Client-wise: 71% third-party clients (58% state government, 10% central government, 3% private), 29% captive HAM projects.
  • The order book excludes two HAM projects totaling INR 1,200 crores (appointed date pending) and two irrigation projects awarded in January 2025 valued at INR 429 crores.
  • Including these, the total order book would be INR 5,517 crores.
  • The current order book is expected to execute over 1.5 to 2 years.
  • The company targets an order inflow of INR 8,000 crores to INR 10,000 crores in the next 3 to 4 months.
  • Targeted sectors include Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh irrigation, MSRDC projects, and projects in Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, and an Agra-Gwalior bid.

Capex plans

Yes
- Stand-alone capex for the existing order book is minimal, around INR20 crores for the first 9 months. - Future capex will depend on order inflows of INR8,000 crores to INR10,000 crores expected in the next 3-4 months. Capex plans will be reworked based on receipt of LOAs and mobilization. - For the mining operation project (MDO), major capex required is mainly for equipment like trucks (about 100 additional Volvos planned). - Strategic investments include MOUs and discussions with partners like Adani and Cube Highways for concession and EPC models, especially in BOT toll projects. - Monetization of four matured HAM assets is underway with expected SPA signing by end of Q1 2025 and asset monetization by June-December 2025. Overall, capital investment plans remain dynamic, driven by order inflows and strategic partnerships.

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