KNR Constructions LtdQ1 FY25

KNR Constructions Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 135P/E: 8.6Market Cap: ₹3.7K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 4

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • FY25 revenue expected to be flat around INR3,955 crores, similar to FY24 levels.
  • Order inflow target for FY25 is INR5,000 to INR6,000 crores, with initial 2-3 months targeting INR2,000 to INR3,000 crores.
  • Growth in FY25 considered "a little bit dull" due to project start delays and external challenges.
  • Execution depends on appointed dates and project mobilization, with some projects yet to start.
  • FY26 expected to see better growth, anticipated to perform well ("touch wood, we'll do great").
  • Margin guidance for FY25 is 15%-16%, slightly lower than FY24's 17.4%, due to aggressive bidding on new projects.
  • Expanded focus into diverse sectors like irrigation, metro, tunneling, railway, mining, and solar for sustainable growth and de-risking.
  • BOT toll projects expected as part of growth strategy through partnerships, mainly in southern India.

Margin guidance

Category 4
  • FY25 revenue is expected to be flat compared to FY24, around INR3,955 crores.
  • Margins are likely to be lower than FY24’s 17.4%, with guidance of 15%-16% EBITDA margin due to aggressive bidding on new projects.
  • FY25 capex anticipated between INR100-120 crores, dependent on new project awards.
  • Management expects FY25 to be a somewhat dull year with challenges in project starts and execution, targeting to maintain last year's performance.
  • FY26 is expected to show improved execution and growth prospects ("2026 would be, touch wood, we'll do great").
  • Net profit for FY24 was INR440 crores (adjusted), with the company aiming to sustain profitability amid margin pressures.
  • Overall, modest near-term growth with better outlook post-FY25 as larger projects ramp up.

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Fundraise plans

  • The company has a consolidated debt of INR1,220 crores as of March 31, 2024, up from INR610 crores the previous year, with a net debt to equity ratio of 0.34 times.
  • Equity infusion of INR504 crores is planned across FY25 (INR350 crores), FY26 (INR90 crores), and FY27 (INR64 crores) specifically for HAM projects.
  • No explicit mention of new debt raising plans, but the company is managing debt drawing based on cash flow needs, particularly for HAM receivables.
  • Discussions with partners like Cube Highways for BOT toll projects include potential equity commitments around 20-26%, suggesting selective equity participation depending on project bidding requirements.
  • There’s an emphasis on maintaining a strong balance sheet and cautious capital expenditure, expecting capex around INR100-120 crores in FY25 mainly contingent on new project awards.

Order book

  • As of March 31, 2024, KNR Constructions has an order book of INR 5,305 crores.
  • This includes 60% EPC road & HAM projects, 19% irrigation, and 21% pipeline projects.
  • Client-wise, 61% is from third-party (mostly state government contracts), 39% from captive consumption.
  • The current order book excludes INR 1,200 crores from two HAM projects without appointed dates; including these, the order book rises to INR 6,505 crores.
  • The order book provides ~1.5 years of execution visibility.
  • Target order inflow for FY25 is INR 5,000 to 6,000 crores, with INR 2,000 to 3,000 crores expected in the next 2-3 months.
  • Post-election, significant new tendering and awarding activities are anticipated, especially in highways.
  • KNR is strategically entering BOT toll projects as minor partner with Cube Highways to increase bidding opportunities.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY24 capex was around INR 80 crores.
  • For FY25, expected capex is approximately INR 100 to 120 crores, mainly for regular capex.
  • Additional capex will be required if large new projects are secured.
  • Strategic investment plans include partnering with Cube Highways for BOT toll projects, with potential equity participation of 20%-25% initially, with possible exit after project completion.
  • Discussions ongoing with partners like NCC for metro and irrigation projects through MOUs.
  • Exploring new sectors such as irrigation, metro, tunneling, railway, mining, and solar EPC to diversify and de-risk business.
  • Focus on selective geographic areas, primarily southern India, with cautious approach to investments outside this region.

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