
Modison Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- Since FY'20, the company has witnessed about 55% absolute growth, translating to approximately 15% CAGR.
- Growth is largely volume-driven; silver volume increased from 26 Kg to 32 Kg (25% volume growth) over three years.
- LV segment expects high double-digit growth with CAGR exceeding 15%; HV segment also to grow but at a steadier pace.
- Capacity expansions planned: LV to reach at least 50% capacity utilization; HV capacity to increase by over 20%, minimum 30%, but HV growth is gradual due to market dynamics.
- Market size: HV around US$15-20 million (expected growth); LV about US$150 million with 35% market share.
- Revenue growth potential tied more to market demand than capacity constraints.
- Company projects revenue of Rs. 500 crores by 2025 and Rs. 1,000 crores by 2030.
- Growth driven by customer consolidation and entry into global value chains boosting exports.
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Fundraise plans
See what Modison Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Current CAPEX budget is around Rs. 25 crores, covering both Brownfield (Low Voltage) and Greenfield (High Voltage) expansions, expected by FY'23 end.
- Low Voltage expansion includes upgrading facilities to handle older and new RoHS-compliant contact series (AgCdO and AgSnO2-2), running production in parallel.
- High Voltage capacity will increase by at least 30%, although demand growth in HV will be slower; CAPEX is for medium to long-term investment.
- Historically, maintenance CAPEX is about Rs. 3-4 crores annually, with total CAPEX averaging Rs. 5 crores mostly for plant, machinery, and R&D equipment.
- Future strategic investment plans include expanding expertise beyond silver to other metals like copper and tungsten, though specifics are not yet finalized or publicly disclosed.
- Growth-related CAPEX is driven by market demand and global footprint shifts, especially with major global companies shifting production to India.
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Margin guidance
Category 3- The company targets revenue of Rs. 500 crores by 2025 and Rs. 1,000 crores by 2030, indicating strong growth ambitions.
- Since FY'20, about 55% absolute growth achieved (approx. 15% CAGR), mainly volume-driven.
- EBITDA margin expected to normalize around 12-14% in a steady state considering product mix (LV and HV).
- Operational improvements (Lean Six Sigma, productivity gains ~15% YoY) and higher inventory turnover support margin expansion.
- Volume growth especially in the LV segment (high double-digit CAGR above 15%) will contribute to earnings growth despite low margins there.
- Material price volatility, especially silver, impacts margins temporarily; normalized margins and operational parameters remain strong.
- Expansion in metal engineering beyond silver (copper, tungsten) planned, potentially boosting growth and diversification.
- Earnings growth is expected to outpace market growth due to higher market share and operational efficiencies.
Order book
Yes- The company has ongoing expansions in both LV (Low Voltage) and HV (High Voltage) segments expected by FY'23 end.
- Capacity is expanding, but revenue growth is primarily market-driven, not capacity-constrained.
- In HV, capacity will increase by at least 30%, while growth in orders is expected to be gradual; HV market share is about 80%.
- LV segment is experiencing high double-digit growth (CAGR >15%).
- Customer consolidations (with big players like Siemens, Schneider, Hitachi acquiring smaller companies) have strengthened the company's position.
- The company is engaging with three to four customers in value-added product segments, indicating growing orderbook in higher-value offerings.
- First export order for silver salt was booked recently, with several other export inquiries in advanced stages, suggesting expanding orderbook in precious material compounds.
- No specific orderbook numbers disclosed but growth trajectory and order intake appear strong and expanding.
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What Modison Ltd's management said in earlier quarters
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