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NDR Auto Components LtdQ1 FY24

NDR Auto Components Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 830P/E: 30.9Market Cap: ₹1.9K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Current momentum in sales is expected to sustain provided there is no chip shortage or other extraneous factors.
  • Revenue growth is anticipated around Rs. 130 crore going forward if conditions remain stable.
  • The Gujarat plant is projected to add Rs. 70-80 crore in revenue in the next fiscal year, with Bangalore plant contributing fully.
  • New high-value models like Maruti's Jimny and Fronx are expected to enhance revenue.
  • Capacity utilization ramp-up to 60-70% by the end of FY '24 is considered achievable.
  • Expansion into BIW segment and potential new customers/products are under evaluation for higher wallet share.
  • Growth remains directly linked with Maruti Suzuki and Toyota, catering to approximately 33% of Maruti's seating needs.
  • Production run rate and Q4 revenue levels are being used as a base for future growth estimates.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects to sustain current revenue momentum, targeting around Rs. 130 crore going forward barring extraneous factors like chip shortages (Page 17).
  • Q4 revenue run rate is considered a base, with anticipated quarter-on-quarter growth due to new models like Jimny and Fronx (Page 16).
  • EBITDA margins are expected to be maintained around 10% going forward (Page 6).
  • Dividend policy aims for about 10% of profits as dividends consistently (Pages 6, 17).
  • With expanded capacities including Bangalore and Gujarat plants, revenue potential at full capacity could reach Rs. 500-600 crore or more (Page 7).
  • EBITDA growth in FY '23 was 75.79%, and profit after tax grew 85.89%; these positive trends indicate room for continued profitability improvement (Page 4).
  • The company plans adding new models and products to enhance wallet share which could improve earnings (Page 16).

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any current or future fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company discusses CAPEX plans of around Rs. 30-40 crores for FY '24, primarily for expanding the Gujarat plant and supporting a new high-value model.
  • No references were made about raising funds via new debt or equity issuances during the Q&A or closing comments.
  • The company focuses on operational growth, capacity expansion, and sustaining margins without indicating external fundraising.
  • Dividend policy is maintained at approximately 10% of profits, indicating retained earnings are likely used for growth investments.
  • Overall, no announced or planned fundraising through debt or equity is disclosed in this transcript.

Order book

Yes
  • The company is optimistic about securing new contracts for upcoming launches of key clients, particularly with Maruti Suzuki and Toyota.
  • There are one or two Requests for Quotations (RFQs) from other Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), but these are in early stages and may take one or two quarters to materialize.
  • Management is evaluating opportunities in the off-highway commercial vehicle segment and exports, but nothing has materialized yet.
  • The Gujarat facility recently commenced operations with a new high-value model (FRONX), expected to add Rs. 70-80 crore in revenue for FY '24.
  • Existing orders include supply for popular vehicle models like Brezza, Ciaz, Wagon R, Swift Dzire, Grand Vitara, Jimny, and Toyota Hyryder.
  • Sustained run-rate revenue of around Rs. 130 crore is expected going forward, assuming no chip shortages or extraneous factors.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY '23 CAPEX: ₹30 crores in Bangalore, ₹20 crores in Gujarat, plus property purchase in Kharkoda near Maruti Suzuki's new facility.
  • FY '24 CAPEX plan: ₹30-40 crores, primarily in Gujarat to support a new high-value model.
  • Gujarat plant expected to add ₹70-80 crores revenue in FY '24.
  • Bangalore plant full capacity potential: ~₹200 crores revenue.
  • Gujarat plant current capacity potential: ~₹70-80 crores revenue.
  • New model coming next year (details to be announced by Maruti Suzuki) expected to significantly enhance revenue.
  • No application for PLI scheme, but the Company is exploring new opportunities.
  • Production capacity utilization is around 80% for NCR and Bangalore, Gujarat plant just started.

How does NDR Auto Components Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1NDR Auto Components Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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