Nexus Select TrustQ1 FY24

Nexus Select Trust Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹155.98P/E: 53.8Market Cap: ₹23.7K CrSector: Realty

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Consumption growth in Q1 FY24 was strong at 18% like-for-like, outperforming the broader market growth of 8-10%.
  • Top-performing malls have consistently achieved around 18% consumption growth, with marquee assets like Select Citywalk seeing +27%.
  • Rental growth is aligned with consumption growth; about 87% of revenue is fixed, and 13% variable, linked to sales, allowing upside with volume increases.
  • The leasing market is robust with 21% re-leasing spreads, driving rental income growth.
  • The Trust projects revenue from operations growth around 7-8% CAGR based on market sensitivities.
  • Strategic focus on acquiring underinvested malls and adding value through brand mix and marketing supports long-term growth.
  • Strong tenant relationships and active tenant sales tracking enable responsive management and sustainable revenue increases.
  • Future distribution to investors will reflect growth, with quarterly payouts starting post Q2 FY24.

See what Nexus Select Trust management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Nexus Select Trust currently has a low Loan-to-Value (LTV) of around 15%, with an existing net debt of INR 3,500 crores.
  • The REIT regulations allow them to raise debt up to 49% LTV, implying a potential war chest of approximately $1 billion for acquisitions.
  • They are planning to maintain a stable LTV in the high 20s to around 30%, aligning with comparable REITs.
  • The team continues discussions with developers for asset acquisition which may involve a combination of debt and equity (e.g., swapping shares for units).
  • Recent debt raised is INR 22.5 billion (approx. $300 million) at an average cost of 8.2%, better than projections.
  • No explicit mention of immediate equity fundraising; acquisitions likely to be funded through the trust’s balance sheet using the available credit headroom and potentially share swaps.

See what Nexus Select Trust management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Nexus Select Trust focuses on acquisitions of underinvested or undermanaged A-grade malls, with about 50-55 such malls available outside top developers’ portfolios for potential acquisition.
  • They have a war chest of close to $1 billion for acquisitions, supported by a strong balance sheet and low LTV of around 15%.
  • Capital investments focus on upgrading assets through better brand mix, asset improvements, and marketing activities to drive value creation and rental growth.
  • They target assets where they have management control and can apply value-add strategies to increase NOI over a 2-3 year horizon.
  • No specific numbers on new capex provided, but capital deployment is expected primarily via acquisitions on the Trust balance sheet.
  • Ongoing asset repurposing includes replacing hypermarkets and department stores with growing categories like electronics, beauty, fitness, and entertainment to optimize space and increase revenues.

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How does Nexus Select Trust rank vs peers in Realty?

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