Sadbhav Infrastructure ProjectsQ2 FY18

Sadbhav Infrastructure Projects Q2 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹2.69P/E: 1.1Market Cap: ₹95 CrSector: Construction

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects further growth driven by large infrastructure projects announced across India, leading to higher revenue and cash generation.
  • Traffic growth is picking up, with commercial traffic showing good momentum; some projects like Aurangabad-Jalna have seen >15% traffic growth.
  • Completion and toll collection start from 23 check posts by March 2018 will boost revenue, with toll rate hikes likely from April 2018.
  • Post refinancing, repayment obligations are lower (~300 Crores), freeing more cash for growth capital.
  • SIPL forecasts generating cash surplus of around 1300-1400 Crores between FY2019-2021 from operational SPVs.
  • HAM projects will continue to be added steadily, with 3-4 new projects expected yearly.
  • Bharatmala program's large-scale bidding (~30,000 Crores by Dec 2017) and construction targets till 2022 present significant growth opportunities.
  • Continued organic traffic growth with expectations of double-digit sustainable growth in some projects.

See what Sadbhav Infrastructure Projects management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited (SIPL) plans no additional external funding beyond current refinancing efforts.
  • Company completed major refinancing, reducing repayment obligations to around Rs. 300 Crores, aiding cash surplus generation.
  • Incremental equity infusion of Rs. 90-100 Crores expected in second half for three under-construction HAM projects (Waranga-Mahagaon, Udaipur bypass, Rampur Kathgodam II).
  • Future HAM projects may require incremental equity but current equity infused (~Rs. 155 Crores) suffices for ongoing projects.
  • Plans to add 3-4 new HAM projects annually, leveraging available growth capital internally generated.
  • Asset monetization (stake sales) under process as additional growth capital; no firm proposals yet.
  • No discussion on dividend policy or new equity to date; dividend intentions remain under consideration and tied to bidding outcomes.
  • Debt repayments scheduled with major bullet payments from FY2020 onwards, suggesting no immediate large debt raises.

See what Sadbhav Infrastructure Projects management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Sadbhav Infrastructure Project Limited (SIPL) plans to continue adding HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) projects, targeting around 3-4 new HAM projects every year, reflecting a strategic focus on HAM projects (Page 24).
  • Incremental equity infusion of around ₹90-100 Crores is anticipated in the second half of the financial year for three HAM SPVs: Waranga-Mahagaon, Udaipur bypass, and Rampur Kathgodam package II (Page 13).
  • Debt drawdown in SPVs is around ₹1170 Crores, with equity infused about ₹155 Crores up to Sept 2017; further incremental funding expected in coming quarters (Page 13).
  • Given government's large-scale infrastructure push like Bharatmala program, Sadbhav sees good growth capital opportunity, with possibility to add a couple of projects as they come on favorable terms (Page 16).
  • Cash surplus at operational SPV level expected to be ₹1300-1400 Crores across FY2019-FY2021, providing organic growth capital (Page 25).
  • Refinancing completed for various projects to optimize capital structure and reduce repayment burdens (Page 25).

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