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Samhi Hotels LtdQ2 FY24

Samhi Hotels Ltd

Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Same-store assets delivered a strong 13% RevPAR growth in Q1 FY25, driven by robust demand in core markets.
  • Expectation of sustained high single-digit to early double-digit RevPAR growth over several quarters.
  • Addition of 302 new rooms ready to open in the next 2-3 months adds INR 25-30 crores in revenue potential.
  • Further incremental room additions planned: Hyatt Regency Pune, Sheraton Hyderabad (54 rooms), and 80 rooms in Fairfield by Marriott Sriperumbudur.
  • Total incremental revenue potential from room additions estimated around INR 70 crores (based on FY24 RevPAR).
  • Active pipeline includes acquisitions, turnarounds, and long-term variable leases expected to add 25% incremental EBITDA on FY24 pro forma basis from FY27 onwards.
  • Renovation and rebranding projects planned, expected to increase RevPAR by 15% (Pune) and up to 50% (Jaipur), contributing to revenue and EBITDA growth.
  • Overall target inventory CAGR of 10%-15% over the years aligned with revenue growth expectations.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • The company targets a 25% incremental EBITDA growth over FY'24 pro forma asset EBITDA (~INR400 crores), adding approx. INR90-100 crores EBITDA starting FY'27, with a small stub in FY'26.
  • Same-store revenue growth and RevPAR growth are strong, with 13% Same-store RevPAR growth reported in Q1 FY25, supporting sustainable revenue and EBITDA gains.
  • Renovations and rebranding (e.g., Pune, Jaipur assets) are expected to contribute significant upside with EBITDA rerating: Pune asset EBITDA expected to rise from INR17.5 crores to INR25-27 crores post-renovation.
  • The company is confident of delivering high single-digit to early double-digit RevPAR growth sustainably, translating to strong operating earnings growth.
  • Incremental EBITDA from pipeline acquisitions, internal growth, variable leases, and asset recycling opportunities are expected to drive earnings growth, especially post-FY26.
  • Overall, the company expects strong compounding of revenues and EBITDA over the next several years, indicating robust future profit and earnings per share growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company currently has strong liquidity and is generating good cash flow, with operating free cash flow of about INR34 crores in Q1 FY25.
  • There is no immediate need to raise equity capital; however, the management remains open to raising capital if it serves shareholders' interests.
  • The board will consider the best path for the company, including potential capital raising, but as of now, no specific fundraising plans are announced.
  • Debt-wise, the company has some high-cost debt (~INR440 crores at 11%-11.5% interest) they plan to refinance to reduce the overall cost of debt to below 9.5%.
  • Only one NCD matures in Jan 2027, expected to be refinanced before maturity; no significant near-term debt maturities requiring urgent funding.
  • The company is focused on internal growth, asset recycling, and maintaining a strong balance sheet rather than immediate equity or large debt raises.

Order book

The transcript does not explicitly mention current or expected order book or pending orders details. However, relevant insights related to growth pipeline and opportunities are: - Active pipeline of at least three acquisition, turnaround, and long-term lease opportunities being tracked. - Expectation to close opportunities with a 30% success rate to deliver about 25% incremental EBITDA over FY24. - Planned inventory additions include 302 rooms opening in next 2-3 months in different locations (Calcutta, Bangalore, Hyatt Regency Pune, Sheraton Hyderabad, Sriperumbudur). - Additional room expansions planned with revenue potential of INR 25-30 crore from immediate additions and up to INR 50 crore incorporating more projects. - Capex for the year expected at INR 138 crore including renovations, rebranding, and new room additions. - Focus remains on core markets with internal growth projects largely underway and controllable. No specific order backlog or pending contract values are provided.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current year total growth capex is about INR138 crores, including renovation and rebranding.
  • Capex is capitalized, primarily related to additions or asset upgrades, not flowing through P&L as maintenance.
  • Capex covers opening 302 rooms scheduled between October-November, including additions at Hyatt Regency Pune.
  • Plans to add 80 more rooms in Fairfield by Marriott Sriperumbudur due to strong performance.
  • Identified opportunity to add 54 rooms at Sheraton Hyderabad by converting underutilized spaces.
  • Internal growth projects and pipeline opportunities aim for 10%-15% inventory CAGR over several years.
  • Pipeline includes acquisitions, turnarounds, and long-term leases with potential 25% incremental EBITDA on FY24 basis.
  • Renovation projects ongoing in Caspia Pro (Fairfield to Holiday Inn Express) and two Jaipur assets.
  • Asset recycling of at least three assets under discussion to optimize capital deployment.
  • Future room additions and renovations aim to drive higher RevPAR and revenue growth.

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