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Sanwaria Consumer LtdQ3 FY18

Sanwaria Consumer Ltd Q3 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 0.21Market Cap: ₹18 CrSector: Food Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Management targets a top line of ₹10,000 crore in the next 2-3 years.
  • They aim to achieve a double-digit EBITDA margin within this timeframe, leading to proportional PAT margin growth.
  • The company plans to maintain a CAGR of around 20% based on the last three years' performance.
  • Expansion plans include increasing capacity for rice, wheat flour, soya flour, and soya bari through both brownfield and greenfield projects.
  • Planned CAPEX of ₹250 crore and ₹250 crore for working capital, totaling ₹500 crore.
  • Fundraising efforts include upcoming QIP, private placement, or GDR, subject to achieving a suitable price.
  • Retail expansion and increasing product portfolio, including tie-ups with Patanjali, are expected to drive volume and profitability growth.
  • Emphasis on enhancing brand value possibly through brand ambassadors to support new product launches.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Management targets double-digit EBITDA within the next 2-3 years, which will proportionately increase PAT margins.
  • The goal is to achieve a top line of Rs. 10,000 crore alongside this margin expansion.
  • Company aims for a PAT margin increase from the current 3% toward 5%+ over time.
  • They have maintained a historical CAGR of around 20% over the past three years and aim to sustain this growth rate.
  • Profit per quarter is currently strong (around Rs. 44-45 crore) and expected to improve further.
  • Expansion plans include CAPEX of Rs. 250 crore plus Rs. 250 crore for working capital, likely driving future earnings growth.
  • Export growth, especially after expected US market entry (post FDA and quarantine approvals), is projected to positively impact profitability.
  • Management does not provide specific full-year PAT or revenue guidance but emphasizes steady growth and value unlocking for shareholders.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
- The company plans a total CAPEX of Rs. 250 crore plus Rs. 250 crore for working capital, totaling Rs. 500 crore for expansion including rice, wheat flour, soya flour, and new products. - Fundraising is primarily planned through Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), some private placement, or Global Depository Receipts (GDR). - The QIP has been delayed since July-August 2018 due to market conditions and the current share price being below the fair value (~Rs. 20-24). - No buyback will be done simultaneously with QIP as company cannot do both at the same time. - Debt levels are being managed prudently; although absolute debt may increase with business growth, the debt-to-revenue ratio is expected to reduce. - Management is working on increasing visibility and aligning the share price to the fair value to facilitate successful equity fundraising. No explicit mention of new debt fundraising was made; focus is on equity fundraising via QIP and related routes.

Order book

The transcript from the provided pages does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Sanwaria Consumer Limited. However, some related insights include: - Discussions about ongoing business expansion, especially in eastern and western India, not focusing on Delhi or northern India. - Management mentioned ongoing discussions about new contracts with Patanjali for 4-5 products, though no new contracts have been finalized yet. - The company is working on increasing institutional investors via QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) to support expansion plans. - The rice business procures paddy from farmers and agents (AMCR and adadhias), processes it after maturing the paddy, and brands the rice as per requirements. - Expansion plans are focused on increasing retail presence, including online and physical stores. No specific order book or pending order values are disclosed in the provided content.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Sanwaria Consumer Limited is planning capacity expansion in rice, wheat flour, soya flour, soya bari, and new products.
  • They are considering both Brownfield and Greenfield expansions.
  • Planned capital expenditure (CAPEX) is Rs. 250 crore for capacity expansion.
  • Additional Rs. 250 crore is estimated for working capital after expansion, totaling Rs. 500 crore investment.
  • Funding plans include an upcoming Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), private placement, or Global Depository Receipts (GDR).
  • The company is currently in the process of raising funds; market conditions and appropriate share pricing are critical factors.
  • They aim to complete funding when the share price approaches the fair value (~Rs. 24).
  • The company is also planning to increase product portfolio and may use brand ambassadors for brand promotion.
  • Discussions are ongoing with Patanjali for supplying 4-5 new products, which could significantly impact future profitability.

How does Sanwaria Consumer Ltd rank vs peers in Food Products?

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1Sanwaria Consumer Ltd
Rev 2Mar 1

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