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Solex Energy LtdQ3 FY24

Solex Energy Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • FY25 revenue target: ₹800 crore (₹650 crore from modules, ₹150 crore from EPC).
  • Module capacity expansion to 4 GW by mid FY26 (June 2025).
  • 1.5 GW line to start contributing by January-end/February FY25.
  • 2.5 GW line expected operational by June FY26.
  • FY26 revenue projection: ₹1,300-1,400 crore.
  • FY26 volume target: 1.5 GW at full capacity plus 2.5 GW at half capacity, totaling 2.4 to 2.5 GW.
  • FY27 to have full 4 GW operating at full capacity, further increasing volumes and revenue.
  • Current monthly module production roughly 50,000 modules; expected to increase to 1,25,000 modules by December FY25.
  • Export focus to increase once 4 GW capacity is achieved, targeting markets in Europe and the U.S.
  • EBITDA margins expected between 9-11%; PAT margin around 5%.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Solex Energy targets EBITDA margins comfortably between 9% to 11%, with expected yearly improvements.
  • PAT margin is projected around 5%.
  • Revenue for FY25 is targeted at approximately ₹800 crores, with ₹650 crores from modules and ₹150 crores from EPC.
  • For FY26, revenue is expected around ₹1,300 to ₹1,400 crores, and working capital requirements estimated at ₹200-250 crores.
  • By FY26, with 1.5 GW full capacity and 2.5 GW half capacity operational, revenues could reach ₹2,400-2,500 crores.
  • FY27 is expected to see the full 4 GW capacity operational, further driving growth.
  • There is a strong growth trajectory as evidenced by H1 FY25 revenue growth of 192% and PAT margin improvement from 0.8% to 4.8%.
  • The company plans to cautiously expand manufacturing capacity primarily in India for domestic and international markets.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Solex Energy Limited plans to fund its expansion through a mix of debt and equity.
  • Current project cost is around ₹280 crores, with ₹210 crores expected from debt and ₹70 crores from equity.
  • The company has sufficient funds and advances for the module line and is also planning funds for the cell line.
  • Discussions are ongoing with a couple of investors for future expansion, particularly for the cell line.
  • Fundraising plans are in initial stages; details will be shared publicly once finalized.
  • The company maintains good relationships with bankers and the equity market to support funding needs.

Order book

Yes
  • The transcript does not provide explicit, detailed numbers on the current or expected order book or pending orders.
  • However, it is mentioned that H2 FY'25 is expected to be encouraging due to the current production and order book status.
  • The company emphasizes confidence in business and expansion plans, implying a robust order book supporting growth.
  • For export markets, currently, capacity limitations restrict focus on orders, but with a 4 GW capacity expansion, exports (especially to the U.S. and Europe) are expected to increase significantly.
  • All future orders are secured with change-in-law clauses to protect pricing against risks such as anti-dumping duties.
  • No specific quantitative order book figure is disclosed in the provided content.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Solex is expanding its module manufacturing capacity to 4 GW by June 2025, with 1.5 GW capacity expected to be operational by December/January and the remaining 2.5 GW by mid-2025.
  • The 2.5 GW expansion involves ongoing building construction, line design completion, and upcoming commercial negotiations with vendors; orders for production lines planned between mid to end December 2024.
  • Total project cost is approximately ₹280 crores (excluding building and land), financed through around ₹210 crores debt and ₹70 crores equity.
  • Discussions with potential investors are ongoing to raise additional funds, including for the cell line expansion.
  • Solex intends to keep a mix of debt and equity for funding future capex.
  • Plans to upgrade manufacturing lines flexibly to accommodate new technologies (e.g., Tapi-R product).
  • Monitoring U.S. market policies cautiously before deciding on any manufacturing expansion there.

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