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Suraj Estate Developers LtdQ3 FY24

Suraj Estate Developers Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 196P/E: 10.6Market Cap: ₹1.0K CrSector: Realty

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Target pre-sales for FY '25 is Rs. 850 crores, reflecting confident booking growth.
  • Plans to launch seven new projects with a combined GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores before March.
  • Expect steady growth in sales volume and realizations, with a 14% growth already achieved in a seasonally slower quarter.
  • Revenue and EBITDA expected to be higher than the previous year, though exact figures are not disclosed.
  • Ongoing strong demand in value luxury segment and commercial properties.
  • Confidence in launches pending RERA approvals, especially for commercial projects with GDV of Rs. 450 crores.
  • Optimism about Mumbai redevelopment potential driving future growth.
  • Collections grew 90% YoY in Q2 FY '25, indicating strong cash flow.
  • Overall, poised for robust performance fueled by favorable market conditions and infrastructure developments.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company is optimistic about strong earnings growth in the coming years, driven by substantial business development under favorable terms.
  • Pre-sales target for FY '25 is Rs. 850 crores, indicating growth in bookings and revenue.
  • EBITDA and PAT have shown significant growth YoY for H1 FY '25 (EBITDA up 16%, PAT up 97%).
  • The average realization per square foot has been increasing over recent quarters, supporting higher margins.
  • Ongoing launch of projects with GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores planned before March 2025 will contribute to future revenues.
  • Steady cost of debt at 13% WACC helps maintain financial stability.
  • Delays in RERA approvals may impact the exact timing of launches but projects are well-positioned once approvals are obtained.
  • Overall positive outlook due to market conditions in Mumbai Metropolitan Region and strategic presence in redevelopment projects.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Suraj Estate Developers Limited recently raised Rs. 343 crores via preferential allotment of equity shares (Rs. 243 crores) and Rs. 100 crores via issuance of convertible share warrants.
  • In October 2024, Rs. 269 crores were received, including preferential allotment funds and subscription money; the balance from warrants is expected within 18 months.
  • Funds raised are planned to be used for land acquisitions, working capital, general corporate purposes, and business development, including new BD and land acquisition (~40%).
  • No explicit mention of future fundraising through debt or additional equity beyond the current raised funds.
  • Debt position increased due to approval-related costs for upcoming launches, but weighted average cost of debt remains at 13%.
  • Management did not indicate any imminent new fundraising plans during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • Ongoing projects have sold 5.39 lakh sq. ft. out of a total 6.09 lakh sq. ft., generating approx. Rs. 1,370 crores with receivables of Rs. 767 crores.
  • Unsold inventory stands at 2.71 lakh sq. ft. with an estimated GDV of Rs. 395 crores.
  • Combined receivables from sold and unsold portions total Rs. 1,162 crores, expected to materialize between FY '25 and FY '29.
  • Upcoming pipeline includes projects with over 9 lakh sq. ft. of carpet area for sale, with approximately 67% in value luxury, 14% in luxury, and 7% in commercial properties.
  • Estimated GDV for these upcoming 18 projects exceeds Rs. 5,000 crores.
  • A significant portion of the upcoming project area (around 50% of 8 lakh sq. ft. residential) comes from two projects: Marinagar and Girgaonkarwadi with launches targeted next year and later.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Suraj Estate Developers Limited has raised Rs. 343 crores via preferential allotment and convertible share warrants, with Rs. 269 crores received as of October 2024.
  • Funds will be utilized for land acquisitions, working capital, general corporate purposes, and issuance-related expenses.
  • Approximately 40% of the fundraise is planned to be spent on business development and land acquisition before March 2025.
  • This strategic capital deployment aims to expand operations, diversify the product portfolio, and reinforce their position in both residential and commercial real estate sectors.
  • The company plans to launch seven new projects with a GDV of Rs. 1,150 crores before March 2025, backed by the recent fundraise.
  • The Bandra project is in planning with initial approvals, targeting a launch between Q2 and Q3 of next year, reflecting ongoing future capital allocation.

How does Suraj Estate Developers Ltd rank vs peers in Realty?

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1Suraj Estate Developers Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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