Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers LtdQ1 FY21

Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd Q1 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹128.09P/E: 3.4Market Cap: ₹886 CrSector: Paper, Forest & Jute Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

No

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Per capita paper consumption in India is expected to rise from 14 kgs to 17 kgs by 2024-25, indicating growth potential.
  • Increased use of packaging board in the pharma industry due to the plastic ban and rise in e-commerce home deliveries.
  • Growth in packaging boards estimated at 10-12% per annum, with strong demand from pharma, FMCG, and e-commerce sectors.
  • Printing and writing paper demand expected to recover as schools, colleges, and offices resume normal operations post-Covid-19.
  • Digitalization and growing literacy rates contribute to long-term demand growth, despite short-term Covid impacts.
  • Expansion projects (MEP Unit II) will increase production capacity from 6,00,000 MT to 7,65,000 MT annually, driving volume growth.
  • Optimism that fading Covid-19 pandemic will lead to normalization and trigger volume and revenue growth.

See what Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • There is no proposal for a buyback of shares this year as the company needs funds for regular maintenance CAPEX, new projects, and loan repayments.
  • The company plans to repay around Rs. 400 crores of loans on earlier projects during the current year.
  • Capital expenditure of about Rs. 50 crores is planned for normal CAPEX.
  • A significant investment of around Rs. 875 crores is planned for the Mill Expansion Plan (MEP) Unit II pulp mill expansion.
  • Due to these huge funding requirements combined with cash flow pressures from the Covid-19 outbreak, the company is conserving funds and not paying interim dividends.
  • No requests or plans for bonus shares or equity fundraising have been indicated.
  • Overall, the company is focusing on managing existing debt and funding expansion through internal accruals and loan repayments without announcing fresh equity or debt fundraising.

See what Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company has a Mill Expansion Plan (MEP) in Unit II to increase mill capacity from 200,000 MT to 365,000 MT per annum of Multilayer Coated Paper Board.
  • This includes installation of a state-of-the-art Paper Machine with 165,000 MT per annum capacity and a 400 tons per day chemical hardwood pulp mill with chemical recovery boiler and wastewater treatment plant.
  • Total capital outlay for this expansion is Rs. 2,520 crores.
  • Overall paper and packaging board production capacity post-expansion will increase to 765,000 MT per annum from the current 600,000 MT.
  • The company plans to spend about Rs. 875 crores for MEP Unit II pulp mill expansion.
  • Around Rs. 50 crores are planned for normal capex (maintenance and upgrades).
  • The company has significant loan repayment obligations (~Rs. 400 crores) in the current year, impacting available funds for buybacks or dividends.

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