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Antony Waste Handling Cell LtdQ4 FY25

Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 472P/E: 22.3Market Cap: ₹1.4K CrSector: Other Utilities

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Core operating revenue growth expected at around 20% to 24% year-on-year based on existing projects.
  • Q4 core operating revenue anticipated in the range of Rs. 200 to Rs. 210 Crores.
  • Construction & Debris (C&D) processing projects to start contributing from FY2025, aiming to grow revenue share and diversify.
  • Plan to adjust revenue mix to achieve approximately 50:50 split between collection & transportation (C&T) and processing projects in coming years (historically C&T was 60-65%).
  • Non-municipal revenue to increase from current 2% to about 5% over the next couple of years through value-added products like auto scrap and tire recycling.
  • Tonnage growth of around 12% year-on-year noted, with potential upside in C&T revenues due to escalation and volume growth from new contracts like Panvel.
  • Waste-to-energy project power sales expansion expected to contribute positively in coming quarters.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Core operating revenue growth is expected at 20% to 24% annually, supported by ramp-up of underlying projects (Page 20).
  • Q4 core operating revenue guidance is Rs. 200-210 Crores (Page 20).
  • EBITDA margins have improved to around 22%, with core EBITDA margins stable and expected to sustain (Pages 5, 10).
  • Interest and depreciation costs will remain elevated due to waste-to-energy projects but expected to taper over 1-2 years (Page 17).
  • The company anticipates stable tax rates around 25-27% going forward (Page 20).
  • Sustainable 20% to 25% CAGR rate in core operating revenue outlook is targeted (Page 6).
  • Waste-to-energy plant operations are stabilizing with increasing revenues, leading to improved profitability (Pages 6, 16).
  • Variability in quarterly EPS is currently due to administrative delays but expected to stabilize post municipal elections (Page 18).

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company has indicated that the bulk of capex is behind them, suggesting limited immediate need for new funding.
  • Discussions hint at possible refinancing of existing debt (specifically waste-to-energy project debt) to reduce interest rates, but not new debt raising.
  • The company is focused on stabilizing operations and cash flows before considering dividend policy or further financial moves.
  • No direct plan or announcement for equity fundraising was indicated in the available sections.
  • The management appears focused on operational efficiency, project stabilization, and organic growth rather than active capital raising.

Order book

Yes
  • The company is actively working on commissioning the Construction & Demolition (C&D) processing project in Mumbai, expected to contribute to revenues from Q4 FY2024 onwards.
  • Long-term contracts include a Construction & Transportation (C&T) business with annual revenue potential around Rs.30 Crores per year, with a 21-year term. There is potential for revenue growth as tonnage and tipping fees escalate.
  • The company has identified locations for a car scrapping/recycling project with plans to start by Q3 FY2025, in discussions with OEM partners.
  • Waste-to-energy projects have recently commenced commercial operations, contributing to revenues and margins going forward.
  • The company targets increasing non-municipal revenues from about 2% to 5% over the next few years by adding value-added products from new recycling projects.
  • Overall revenue growth guidance for FY2025 is around 20% to 24%, supported by the current and upcoming projects backlog.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company’s bulk of capex is behind them, leading to a drop in IND AS revenue and shift in revenue mix towards core operating revenue.
  • Incremental capex for the Kanjur project and Collection & Transportation (C&T) operations caused a slight increase in interest cost.
  • Waste-to-energy projects are operational, with steady-state depreciation around Rs.17 Crores and interest approx. Rs.13 Crores annually.
  • Plans to set up tire recycling facilities at the auto recycling site; equipment identified and development targeted around Q3 of next financial year.
  • Focus on end-of-life vehicle scrapping with land identification underway and discussions with OEMs for partnerships.
  • No partnership planned for tire recycling; initiatives being developed in-house.
  • Internal target to increase non-municipal revenue from 2% to 5% in the next couple of years through value-added products including construction debris projects, auto scrap, and tire recycling.

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