Ashoka Buildcon LtdQ1 FY26

Ashoka Buildcon Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 112P/E: 4.2Market Cap: ₹3.4K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 is around 10%, revised down from an earlier 15% estimate due to delayed project starts (Page 7, 8).
  • Growth is expected to be muted in Q1-Q2 FY'26 due to delays in land acquisition and forest clearances; major pick-up anticipated in Q3-Q4 FY'26 (Page 7, 8).
  • FY'27 is expected to see much better growth with projects running at full swing and conversion of new orders received (Page 7, 8).
  • Order inflows for FY'26 are targeted between INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores, spread across roads, railways, power, and other infrastructure segments (Page 12).
  • The company focuses on specialized structures to mitigate competitive pressures in NHAI bidding (Page 12).
  • EBITDA margins forecast to improve to around 10% - 10.5% in FY'26 (Page 13).
  • Positive cash flows from operations anticipated in FY'26, excluding asset monetization (Page 13).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 is around 10%, a revision from earlier 15%, mainly due to delayed project starts in Q1-Q2 related to land acquisition and forest clearances. (Page 7, Page 8)
  • EBITDA margin expected to improve to approximately 10%-10.5% in FY'26, supported by new order book mix and better operating efficiencies. (Page 13, Page 8)
  • Expectation of positive standalone operating cash flows in FY'26, moving from a negative operating cycle in FY'24-25. (Page 13)
  • Order inflow target of INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores for FY'26, spread across roads, railways, power, water, and buildings sectors. (Page 12)
  • BOT and HAM asset monetization expected to reduce debt and finance costs significantly by FY'26 and FY'27, supporting profit growth. (Page 16, Page 17)
  • Enhanced focus on specialized highway structures and diversified infrastructure segments to sustain margin growth. (Page 12)

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the recent discussion.
  • Debt levels are expected to reduce substantially by FY26 through asset monetization (BOT and HAM projects).
  • By March 2026, approximately Rs. 4,500 crores of debt is expected to be reduced from liabilities held for sale.
  • Current debt cost is around 8%-9.5%; reducing debt is expected to lower finance costs by Rs. 300-400 crores.
  • The company plans capital infusion of around Rs. 250 crores in FY26 and Rs. 112 crores in FY27 for HAM projects.
  • No specific plans on equity infusion mentioned, but management references using cash for growth and potential sharing with investors (dividend/buyback).
  • Debt refinancing or new borrowing assumptions are based on maintaining current capital cycle needs and monetization outcomes.

Order book

  • As of March 31, 2025, Ashoka Buildcon's balance order book stands at INR 14,905 crores (excluding post-March orders of INR 795 crores).
  • Order book break-up:
  • - Roads and Railways projects: Approximately INR 10,867 crores (72.9% of total).
  • - HAM projects: INR 1,859 crores
  • - EPC road projects: INR 8,688 crores
  • - Railway projects: INR 320 crores
  • - Power Transmission & Distribution: INR 3,618 crores (24.3% of total)
  • - EPC building segment: INR 420 crores (2.8% of total)
  • New orders received:
  • - Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Company - INR 312 crores (substation project)
  • - Central Railway - INR 569 crores (gauge conversion project)
  • Target Order Inflow for FY'26: INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores, distributed across roads (INR 7,000-8,000 crores), railways (~INR 2,000 crores), power, water, and buildings.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Planned CAPEX target for FY'26 is around Rs. 200 crores across all segments.
  • Equity infusion in HAM projects is expected to be INR 250 crores in FY'25-26 and INR 112 crores in FY'26-27.
  • The company is focusing on specialized structures and segmented projects to improve margins and execution.
  • There is ongoing asset monetization including sale of BOT subsidiaries, which will reduce debt and finance costs.
  • No specific mention of strategic investments beyond asset monetization and order book expansion in roads, railways, and power sectors.
  • The company is also scouting for investors for certain projects like Chennai-ORR to complete monetization.

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