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Ashoka Buildcon LtdQ1 FY25

Ashoka Buildcon Ltd

Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 is around 10%, revised down from an earlier 15% estimate due to delayed project starts caused by land acquisition and forest clearance issues. (Page 7, 9)
  • Growth is expected to accelerate in FY'27, particularly in the second half, as current projects reach full execution and new orders convert into business. (Page 7, 9)
  • Order inflows for FY'26 are expected to be between INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores across roads, railways, power, and other infrastructure sectors. (Page 7, 13)
  • MoRTH and NHAI pipelines total approximately INR 75,000 to 100,000 crores; railway bidding pipeline is INR 25,000 to 30,000 crores; power sector project pipelines are INR 10,000 to 15,000 crores. (Page 13)
  • Topline growth in Q1-Q2 FY'26 is muted, with significant pick-up anticipated in Q3-Q4. (Page 7)

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 has been revised to around 10%, down from an earlier 15% guidance, due to delay in project starts (land acquisition, forest clearance). (Page 7, 8, 14)
  • Growth to pick up strongly in H2 FY'26 and especially in FY'27 as more projects reach full execution. (Page 7)
  • EBITDA margins expected to improve to around 10%-10.5% in FY'26 supported by new order book mix. (Pages 12, 14)
  • Standalone entity expected to generate positive operating cash flows in FY'26, excluding asset monetization. (Page 12)
  • Order inflows expected in the range of INR 10,000-12,000 crores in FY'26 across roads, railways, and power segments. (Pages 13, 14)
  • Asset monetization proceeds and reduction in debt will reduce finance costs substantially from FY'26 onwards, supporting profitability. (Pages 16, 17)
  • Overall, sustainable EPC business focusing on highways, railways, power, and buildings expected to drive steady long-term growth. (Page 5)

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No explicit mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity was made in the call.
  • Debt levels are expected to remain similar in the near term, assuming current turnover and capital cycle estimates.
  • Asset monetization (BOT and HAM projects) will reduce consolidated debt substantially by Rs. 4,000-5,000 crore by FY'26 end, which will consequently reduce finance costs.
  • Standalone debt post-monetization is expected to be substantially low (Rs. 200-300 crore range), with potential for surplus.
  • The company expects positive cash flows from operations in FY'26 without needing additional equity infusion.
  • There is no indication of planned equity fundraising; however, cash on balance sheet may be used for sharing with investors or new business.
  • Discussions on debt reduction are tied closely to ongoing asset monetizations rather than new debt raising.

Order book

  • As of March 31, 2025, the balance order book stands at INR 14,905 crores (excluding INR 795 crores of orders received post-March 31, 2025).
  • Order book breakup:
  • - Roads and Railways: INR 10,867 crores (~72.9% of total)
  • - HAM projects: INR 1,859 crores
  • - EPC road projects: INR 8,688 crores
  • - Railway: INR 320 crores
  • - Power T&D: INR 3,618 crores (~24.3%)
  • - EPC buildings: INR 420 crores (~2.8%)
  • New orders received:
  • - Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Co.: INR 311.92 crores (400/220 kVA substation)
  • - Central Railway (gauge conversion & ROBs): INR 568.86 crores
  • Target order intake for FY'26: INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores across roads, railways, and other infrastructure.
  • Pipeline includes MoRTH, NHAI (INR 75,000 to 1 lakh crores), railways (INR 25,000 to 30,000 crores), power (INR 10,000 to 15,000 crores), and other sectors.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company’s CAPEX target for FY'26 is around Rs. 200 crores across all segments (Page 14).
  • Pending equity infusion in HAM projects stands at approximately Rs. 67 crores, including Rs. 225 crores for the recently won Bowaichandi project (Page 14).
  • Planned equity infusion in HAM projects is Rs. 250 crores in FY'25-26 and Rs. 112 crores thereafter (Page 14).
  • The focus remains on maintaining a sustainable EPC business across highways, railways, power transmission & distribution, and buildings (Page 6).
  • No explicit mention of one-time strategic investments, but management is open to sharing surplus cash with investors and for new business (Page 13).

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