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Astra Microwave Products LtdQ2 FY23

Astra Microwave Products Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,689P/E: 65.5Market Cap: ₹10.5K CrSector: Aerospace & Defense

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets a turnover of Rs. 10,000 crore in the next 5 years.
  • Expected run-rate of Rs. 2,000 crore per year around FY26.
  • FY26 turnover guidance: approximately Rs. 1,500 crore.
  • FY28 turnover expected between Rs. 2,500 to Rs. 2,800 crore.
  • Focus on transitioning from subsystem vendor to system vendor to capture larger opportunity sizes.
  • Strategy includes expanding into solutions and systems integration for domestic and international markets starting next year.
  • Participation in major defense programs such as Akash-NG RF seeker (120-150 crores opportunity in next 5 years), airborne and ground radar subsystems, EW subsystems, and Software Defined Radio orders (~Rs. 150 crore JV order expected soon).
  • Exports to form a smaller portion of revenue going forward; domestic business and high-margin programs expected to grow significantly in Q3 and Q4 FY24.
  • Infrastructure and manpower expansion underway to support growth initiatives.

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • Management expects a significant turnaround from the current loss after tax of Rs. 4.3 crores in Q1 FY24 to profitability in upcoming quarters, targeting Rs. 140-150 crores business profit for the full year FY24.
  • Profitability improvement is anticipated from Q3 FY24 onwards due to higher domestic sales with better margins.
  • The company anticipates growth acceleration from FY26, aiming to reorganize the company to operate at a higher scale.
  • Target turnover of Rs. 10,000 crores over the next 5 years, with a projected run rate of Rs. 1,500 crores from FY26 and Rs. 2,500-2,800 crores by FY28.
  • Expected margin expansion as higher-margin domestic projects replace low-margin exports.
  • New solutions and systems integration businesses planned to diversify revenue and improve margins.
  • Order book visibility and key program awards support sustained high growth and profitability trajectory.

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Fundraise plans

  • The transcript does not mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity.
  • However, it is noted that recently raised QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) funds are being utilized as declared in the offer document.
  • There is no explicit mention of new fundraising initiatives either in debt or equity form during the call.
  • The focus appears to be on executing existing contracts and expanding business organically and through strategic initiatives.
  • The company is concentrating on growth through business development, solutions, and system integration rather than on fresh capital raising at this time.

Order book

Yes
  • Group basis order book stands at Rs. 1,942 crores; JV order book is Rs. 422 crores.
  • Standalone order book is around Rs. 1,580 crores (Rs. 60 crore mismatch being clarified by management).
  • Rs. 60 crores worth of service orders mainly from weather-related business, with execution spread over ~5 years, shown separately from regular 24-30 month order book.
  • Joint venture order of Rs. 150.44 crores from HAL for SDR supply included in consolidated order book, not standalone.
  • Export order book execution planned over the next quarters, with exports of Rs. 80 crores in Q2, Rs. 73 crores in Q3, and Rs. 70 crores in Q4.
  • Key orders include defense satellite subsystems, airborne and ground radars from DRDO, EW subsystems for DR118 program, Shakti, NAYAN, Himshakti, Himshruthi, and Arudhra (expected minimum Rs. 300 crores).
  • Software Defined Radio orders for army (Make-II) pending trials in Oct-Nov; JV expects Rs. 200 crores order book assuming export license clearance.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Astra is expanding its production capabilities with a focus on high-value add, higher margin products rather than large-scale low-margin manufacturing.
  • They have qualified designs for foundries in Taiwan, France, and the US to ensure long-term chip supply security, including indigenous options via GAETEC foundry.
  • Development of several major systems has been initiated, indicating ongoing capital investments in R&D and production.
  • The company is gearing up infrastructure and manpower to meet future growth, targeting a ₹10,000 crore turnover over 5 years.
  • Plans include moving up the value chain from subsystem vendor to system vendor to capture larger opportunity sizes.
  • They are exploring adjacencies and new growth areas like SATCOM systems, wind profile radars, ground surveillance radars, doppler weather radars, and anti-drone solutions.
  • Raised QIP funds are being put to use as declared, supporting strategic investments for growth.

How does Astra Microwave Products Ltd rank vs peers in Aerospace & Defense?

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