Avenue Super.Q1 FY22

Avenue Super. Q1 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹3,175P/E: 66.5Market Cap: ₹2.1L CrSector: Retailing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • E-commerce business is showing strong growth potential, having more than doubled revenues, especially in Mumbai and expanding to cities like Hyderabad, Bangalore, and Pune. (Pages 13-17)
  • Offline retail continues to have "humongous potential" and both offline and online channels will coexist. (Page 8)
  • Store expansion is ongoing with 22 new stores opened and plans to add more, aiming for around 59 stores combining last year and this year’s commitments. (Pages 4-8)
  • Revenue recovery depends on removal of COVID restrictions; states with eased regulations are already outperforming 2019 levels for stores 2 years or older. (Pages 3, 9)
  • Larger store sizes (~50,000 sq ft) preferred as they work better for sales efficiency. (Page 5)
  • E-commerce is viewed as incremental to brick-and-mortar revenues, particularly in Mumbai, adding to overall topline rather than cannibalizing physical stores. (Page 16)
  • Inflation-led price increases seen; focus on managing inventory and pricing strategies is key. (Pages 18)

See what Avenue Super. management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • As of the latest update (July 22, 2021), Avenue Supermarts Limited has no borrowings; the INR 296 crores debt noted is related to lease liabilities under accounting standard AS116, not actual borrowings.
  • The company has not indicated any plans for new fundraising through debt.
  • There is no mention or indication of any equity fundraising planned currently or in the near future.
  • The focus remains on organic growth, with an aggressive store addition plan and investment in e-commerce, financed internally without external debt.
  • Overall, the company maintains a debt-free status and appears comfortable with its current capital structure.

See what Avenue Super. management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Avenue Supermarts Limited maintains an aggressive store addition plan, evidenced by opening 22 new stores adding 1 million square feet in the recent year (Page 5).
  • Store size typically around 50,000 square feet, with preference for larger stores, as larger formats work better for them (Page 5).
  • They continue to open stores primarily in cities/states where they already exist, with a calibrated approach to new geographies (Page 4).
  • Investment into e-commerce includes converting some stores into fulfillment centers (e.g., two stores converted in Kalyan and Mira Road) as experimental pilots to scale e-commerce (Page 4 and 11).
  • They are expanding e-commerce presence cautiously, focusing on building a unit-economics proven model before rapid scale up (Page 15-16).
  • No immediate plans mentioned for digital partnerships; currently managing e-commerce through a separate subsidiary (Page 15).
  • Future store openings projected to catch up post-COVID disruptions; aiming for 59 stores combined over last two years (Page 8).

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