Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) LtdQ2 FY21

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd Q2 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹441P/E: 13.6Market Cap: ₹2.5K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects growth driven by emission norms (Euro-VI) and demand for improved engine performance focused on CO2 reduction and fuel efficiency.
  • Transition to Euro-VI is nearing maturity with ~60% business already transitioned, providing a solid platform for growth and better margins.
  • Recent seven weeks (around Oct-Nov 2020) marked as one of the best periods, with utilization levels at 90%-95% of peak capacity.
  • Management sees potential for further revenue growth beyond pre-COVID peak levels (~Rs.1,350-1,360 crores) but will remain cautious about CAPEX intensity and avoid speculative investments.
  • Market demand surge post-COVID is strong but may not sustain at the same pace for multiple quarters.
  • Expansion focuses on technological upgrades and productivity improvements rather than significant fresh capacity addition in short term.
  • The company is preparing to leverage global supply chains for near-term demand increases before committing to long-term capacity expansion.

See what Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • There is no mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The management is focused on maintaining a debt-free balance sheet, which is appreciated by customers as a sustainability metric.
  • Management is cautious about speculative investment due to COVID uncertainties; they prefer to reserve cash and use existing global capacities to meet near-term market needs.
  • Capital expenditure (CAPEX) is budgeted mainly for technological upgrades, productivity improvements, maintenance, and selective capacity addition with good payback prospects.
  • The planned Offer for Sale (OFS) by the promoter to reduce shareholding from 96% to around 75% is targeted to be closed by end of January (2021), but this is an equity sale by the promoter, not a capital raise for the company.
  • No clear plans or indication of fresh equity or debt fundraising for company needs disclosed in the call.

See what Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FMGIL maintains a CAPEX of approximately Rs. 70-80 crores annually.
  • Current CAPEX is focused mainly on technological upgradation, productivity improvement, and maintenance, rather than fresh capacity addition.
  • Where feasible and with good payback, fresh capacity additions will be considered.
  • Management is cautious with investments due to COVID-19 uncertainties and prefers using global capacities to meet near-term demand instead of speculative long-term investments.
  • They aim to improve CAPEX-to-revenue ratio while balancing maintenance and tech upgrades.
  • Some CAPEX is reserved to support ramp-up in commercial vehicles and light vehicles, linked to Euro-VI emission norms and turbo engine adoption.
  • The company is waiting for clearer market signals before deploying significant capital for long-term growth beyond near-term market opportunities.

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