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ICE Make Refrigeration LtdQ3 FY24

ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 866P/E: 87.9Market Cap: ₹1.2K CrSector: Industrial Manufacturing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Company aims to surpass a turnover target of ₹500 crores by FY 2024-25.
  • Long-term revenue goal is ₹1,000 crores by FY 2027-28.
  • Current order book stands strong at ₹152 crores, positioning for 30%+ annual growth.
  • Continuous panel plant expected to generate ₹200 crores topline on a single shift.
  • Expansion plans include setting up new manufacturing units and warehouses in Chennai, Kolkata, and North India to support volume growth and reduce logistics costs.
  • Company plans to invest ₹200 crores in CAPEX over three years to significantly enhance production capacity.
  • Market opportunities driven by Indian cold chain industry's growth and increasing demand in refrigeration sector.
  • Export business targeted at around ₹14 crores this year, though focused on OEM-based exports.
  • Revenue mix expects continuous panel and commercial products to contribute significantly as expansions proceed.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Ice Make Refrigeration aims to surpass a turnover target of ₹500 crores by FY 2024-25 and reach ₹1,000 crores by 2027-28.
  • The company plans over ₹200 crores in CAPEX over the next three years to significantly enhance production capacity.
  • They expect revenue growth driven by continuous panel plants and subsidiary expansion, with a potential topline of ₹200 crores from a single shift of the continuous panel plant.
  • H1 FY24 showed 18% YoY revenue growth to ₹156 crores and a 27% increase in net profit to ₹9.81 crores, indicating improving profitability.
  • EBITDA margin improved by 52 bps to 10.27% in H1 FY24.
  • Future margin improvement is expected via internal production from the continuous panel plant.
  • While some margin pressure may arise due to increased depreciation and interest from CAPEX, management is confident margins will remain stable or slightly improve as scale increases.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Ice Make Refrigeration plans to deploy over ₹200 crores CAPEX over the next three years.
  • The initial phase of this CAPEX will be funded through debt.
  • Management indicated potential equity infusion in the future as part of the growth CAPEX plan, but the timing and amount are not yet certain.
  • They are open to the possibility of raising capital through the equity market depending on the growth trajectory and working capital needs.
  • Working capital requirements are expected to be around ₹10-15 crores, with contingencies capped at 10-12%.
  • No immediate plans for a defined equity fundraising round, but it remains under consideration for later stages of expansion.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book and leads stand strong at Rs. 152 crores, positioning for an annual growth rate of 30% or higher (Page 3).
  • Sizable orders are in the pipeline, approximately Rs. 3 to 4 crores yet to be received (Page 6).
  • Engagement in technical service support for commercial production line setup at BRC Congo indicates active business development (Page 3).
  • Half-year financial performance shows strong order inflow supporting revenue growth (Page 6).

Capex plans

Yes
  • **Ongoing and Planned CAPEX:** Total planned CAPEX of around ₹200 crores over the next three years, including:
  • - ₹60-65 crores investment for the first and second phases of continuous panel production lines.
  • - ₹9-10 crores for shifting and setting up a new Chennai subsidiary facility (land, building, machinery).
  • - ₹2 crores initial investment in Kolkata subsidiary Ice Make, with further ₹10 crores planned for expansion.
  • - ₹25 crores planned for automation and commercial product vertical expansion.
  • - Additional working capital requirement of ₹15 crores.
  • **Geographical Expansion:** Setting up stock points and warehouses in East (Kolkata) and North India to reduce logistics costs and improve market reach.
  • **Future Plans:** Potential equity infusion considered to fund CAPEX and growth alongside debt financing.
  • **Continuous Panel Plant:** Expected to be completed by next quarter FY24, with commercial operations starting shortly thereafter; estimated to generate ₹200 crores topline on a single shift.

How does ICE Make Refrigeration Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Manufacturing?

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