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Minda Corporation LtdQ2 FY23

Minda Corporation Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 675P/E: 43.3Market Cap: ₹12.6K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Minda Corporation targets long-term growth of about 20%+ year-on-year in revenues and volumes.
  • Committed to outperforming industry growth with innovations, premiumization, and new customer acquisitions.
  • Growth levers include:
  • - Improving wiring harness division EBITDA from single-digit to double-digit within 2 years.
  • - Expanding exports and aftermarket segments.
  • - Enhancing product mix in commercial vehicles, two-wheelers, and four-wheelers, including EVs.
  • EV segment penetration expected to grow from current 4-5% to 10-20% over coming years.
  • Lifetime order wins (INR 3,000 crores in Q1 FY24) will contribute to future sales, with a 2-3 year ramp-up to peak production.
  • Focus on technology, in-house R&D, operational excellence, cost leadership, and increased productivity to support growth.
  • Export sales expected to recover gradually from Q3 FY24 onwards.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • Minda Corporation targets long-term revenue growth of about 20%+ annually.
  • EBITDA margin goal is to reach approximately 12%-13%, up from the current ~10.7%-11%.
  • Major growth drivers include:
  • - Wiring harness division improving from single-digit to double-digit EBITDA within two years.
  • - Expansion in exports, aftermarket, and premiumization across commercial vehicles, two-wheelers, and four-wheelers.
  • - Increasing proportion of EV-related product sales (currently ~6% of revenue, expected to grow).
  • Operational excellence focus to enhance productivity, reduce raw material, and working capital costs.
  • EBITDA margin improvement expected but not targeting 15% in near term.
  • Profit after tax margins likely to improve from current ~4.2% as finance cost and depreciation stabilize.
  • Strong order book (~INR 3,000 crores in Q1 with 50% EV share) supports future revenue growth.
  • Prudent capex (~5%-6% of revenue) allocated for R&D, greenfield projects, and maintenance.

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Fundraise plans

  • As of the Q1 FY24 earnings call (August 03, 2023), the net debt stood at INR 462 crores as of June 30.
  • The management has not provided any specific update or guidance regarding new fundraising through debt or equity during the call.
  • There was a mention of an equity investment in a listed company under review by the Competition Commission of India (CCI), but no updates on new fundraising tied to that.
  • The company continues capital expenditure primarily funded through existing resources, maintaining consistent capex levels (~5%-6% of topline).
  • No explicit plans or announcements for fresh debt or equity fundraising were disclosed in the discussed period.

Order book

Yes
  • Minda Corporation Limited reported lifetime order wins of approximately INR 3,000 crores in Q1 FY24.
  • Of these, around INR 400 crores are replacement businesses, and about INR 2,600 crores are new businesses.
  • Exports account for approximately INR 138 crores of the order wins.
  • In FY22, lifetime order wins were about INR 1,500 crores and INR 2,600 crores in FY23.
  • Orders typically take 1.5 to 2 years for start of production, with the peak revenue expected 2 to 3 years from order win.
  • For the INR 1,500 crores order book won earlier, approximately INR 350-400 crores revenue is expected annually, with production starting in H2 FY24 and peaking in FY25.
  • 50% of recent lifetime orders are from the electric vehicle (EV) mobility segment.
  • A significant battery charger order worth Rs. 750 crores lifetime was won from a leading OEM.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company typically spends about 5% to 6% of its topline on depreciation.
  • Of this, approximately 2% to 3% is allocated to R&D.
  • Around 1% to 2% goes into greenfield projects or plant operations.
  • Another 1% to 2% is spent on regular maintenance capex.
  • In fiscal 2022-23, the company capitalized about INR 280 crores in capex.
  • The full-year impact of this depreciation and increased capacity utilization is expected in coming quarters.
  • There is ongoing investment in local adaptation and field trials for advanced products like ADAS (Advanced Rider Assistance Safety Solutions).
  • The company also evaluates potential diversification opportunities, including partnerships, organic growth, and investments in startups for additional growth.
  • A current strategic investment includes an equity investment under review by the Competition Commission of India (CCI).

How does Minda Corporation Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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