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Minda Corporation LtdQ3 FY24

Minda Corporation Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 675P/E: 43.3Market Cap: ₹12.6K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • The company is confident of achieving double-digit sales growth in the mid to long term, aiming beyond the current ~8% growth rate.
  • Domestic revenue has grown ahead of the industry despite challenges in export and commercial vehicle segments.
  • Order book indicates future peak revenues starting 18-24 months from order wins, with new business comprising about 60% of this.
  • Expansion in new product lines like power tailgate, flush door handles, charging connectors, Sanco products, die casting for EVs, and electronics vertical indicates diversified growth avenues.
  • Localization and backward integration efforts are expected to boost competitiveness and reduce import dependence.
  • Export revenue growth target is mid to long term 10-15%, up from current ~7%.
  • Commercial vehicle segment expected to improve with government infrastructure spend and policy support.
  • New facilities planned, including sunroof and closure systems plant expected by Q1 FY26, supporting growth.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • Minda Corporation is focused on quality of earnings, aiming for economically more value-accretive growth.
  • The company has consistently grown EBITDA both in absolute terms and margin percentage (around 11.4% in Q2), with a target to reach about 12% EBITDA margin.
  • Management is confident about achieving double-digit sales growth.
  • The focus is on sustainable and consistent EBITDA growth outpacing revenue growth.
  • ROCE is a key financial metric, with targets around 20-25%, ensuring disciplined capital allocation without diluting returns.
  • Margin improvement is driven by localization, cost optimization, and premiumization of products.
  • Management expects the quality of product mix and sustained customers to drive better profitability.
  • Expansion into new product lines and sectors (e.g., EV components, wiring harness, die casting) supports future earnings growth.
  • Overall, the company projects strong, sustainable growth in profits and EPS aligned with an improving revenue base and operational leverage.

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Fundraise plans

- Minda Corporation currently maintains a net-zero debt position when considering the value of investments. - Over the next 2-3 years, the company plans to undertake capital expenditure (capex) of about INR 300-350 crores per annum. - This planned capex is expected to be largely funded through internal accruals and cash flow generation. - There is no mention of any immediate or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the earnings call transcript. - The company emphasizes maintaining strong financial metrics, including a focus on ROCE above 20%, indicating prudent capital allocation. - Any inorganic acquisitions or capital allocation will be done without diluting ROCE, underscoring financial discipline. In summary, Minda Corporation does not indicate any current or near-term plans for fundraising through debt or equity, relying mainly on internal accruals for funding growth.

Order book

  • Minda Corporation's total lifetime order book as of H1 FY25 is approximately INR 4,750 crores.
  • In Q2 FY25 alone, lifetime order wins were over INR 2,400 crores, with electric vehicle platforms constituting about 25% of these wins.
  • Annual peak revenues from the order book are estimated by dividing the total order book by 4 or 5.
  • Start of production typically begins 12 to 18 months after winning business, with peak value expected around 2.5 years from the order win.
  • The order book segment mix aligns with current revenues: ~40% 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler, ~20% 4-wheeler, and the remainder in commercial vehicles and off-road.
  • Some orders include segments like sunroof and closure systems, with a facility being set up for these products, expected for commissioning around Q1 FY26.
  • Replacement business typically forms around 40% of the order book, with new business constituting 60%.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Minda Corporation has acquired 24 acres of land in Uttar Pradesh for future expansion.
  • They are investing in setting up new manufacturing facilities, including two new die-casting plants in West and North India for expanding into aluminium cast business and catering to EV and 4-wheeler segment demand.
  • A new plant for Sunroof Closure Systems in Pune is on track for commissioning in Q1 FY26, with possible slight delay of one or two months.
  • Ongoing investments are focused on building capabilities, competencies, and capacities across various segments to deliver on existing order wins.
  • The company is investing strategically in localization and backward integration to reduce import costs and enhance competitiveness, especially in electronics, connectors, and components.
  • Capex over the next 2-3 years is expected to be financed largely through internal accruals, maintaining a net-zero debt position when considering investments.
  • They continue to explore inorganic partnerships as part of growth strategy, adhering to financial metrics like ROCE above 20%.

How does Minda Corporation Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1Minda Corporation Ltd
Rev 4Mar 2

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