Pakka LtdQ2 FY21

Pakka Ltd Q2 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹71.38P/E: 24.4Market Cap: ₹340 CrSector: Paper, Forest & Jute Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Target revenue of Rs.500 Crores by FY2022, up from Rs.261 Crores in FY2020, implying nearly doubling sales.
  • Conservative estimates are avoided; the company is focused on aggressive growth plans.
  • Capex planned around Rs.150 Crores between Dec 2020 and late 2021 to support growth.
  • Expansion in three divisions: paper bags (capacity +25%, better quality), moulded products (capacity +35%), and compostable marketing.
  • Aim to optimize capacity utilization in moulded products from ~54% to 60%-70%.
  • Longer-term vision targets Rs.1360 Crores sales by 2025.
  • Growth driven by new product development (including flexible packaging by 2023), capacity additions, and market expansion domestically and internationally.
  • ROC expected to be maintained above 20%.
  • Company acknowledges uncertainties (e.g. COVID) but committed to best efforts for achieving targets.

See what Pakka Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Promoters have pledged shares to secure loans for company expansion; no personal fund withdrawals involved.
  • Loans with pledged shares are for scaling the company from Rs.30 Crores to Rs.200 Crores level.
  • Efforts are underway to unpledge promoters' shares; target is to release pledged shares in the coming year, depending on bank support and facility renewals.
  • Debt is being taken primarily to fund a total capex of around Rs.150 Crores planned over 12 months (Dec 2020 to Oct/Nov 2021).
  • This capex supports growth plans targeting Rs.500 Crores revenue in 2022 and further expansion by 2025.
  • No explicit mention of current/future equity fundraising in the transcript.
  • The company is focusing on careful debt structuring to fund capacity expansions and new projects.

See what Pakka Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Ongoing and planned capex tie-ups amount to Rs.150 Crores, targeted to be deployed within 12 months from December 2020 to October/November 2021.
  • Capex aims to increase production capacity by approximately 25% on the paper side and about 35% on the moulded products side.
  • The investment on the paper side (approx Rs.35-40 Crores) will also focus on improving product quality for better market positioning.
  • Capacity addition for moulded products expected to come into force from early 2021.
  • Flexible packaging is in the pilot development stage; commercial production targeted around 2023 with investments conceptualized in 2022.
  • Future major investments planned around 2023 to reap benefits in 2024-2025 aligning with audacious growth targets.
  • Capex seeks to support revenue growth targets of Rs.500 Crores in 2022 and Rs.1360 Crores by 2025.
  • Promoters have pledged shares as collateral to secure loans for expansion and capex.

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