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Ratnamani Metals & Tubes LtdQ3 FY21

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 2,647P/E: 38.5Market Cap: ₹18.9K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets 15% to 20% year-on-year growth in sales/revenue for the next two to three years, with a goal to reach 4500 to 5000 Crores by the third year.
  • Incremental capex can increase capacity to around 4500 Crores topline, with plans for further big capex announcements within 6 to 12 months.
  • Growth is driven by increased capacity utilization in stainless steel (SS) and carbon steel, including new plants like hot extrusion and LSAW capacity.
  • The focus remains on high value-added stainless steel products, expected to structurally improve margins and sales contributions.
  • The German plant specialized for aerospace and nuclear tubes is expected to contribute to revenues within 9 to 12 months post commissioning.
  • Overall demand is supported by robust oil & gas sector expansion locally and internationally, alongside positive outlook on exports due to anti-dumping duties on Chinese products.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Ratnamani Metals expects a 15-20% year-on-year growth in revenue over the next 2-3 years, driven by added capacities and strong demand in oil & gas and related sectors.
  • The company aims to reach a topline of ₹4,500–5,000 Crores by the third year with existing and upcoming capacities.
  • EBITDA margins are projected to remain stable around 16%-18%, with potential upside from higher value-added stainless steel products.
  • New investments, such as the German plant (₹100 Crores capex) focused on aerospace and nuclear applications, are expected to deliver higher margins and added revenue streams within 9-12 months.
  • Hot extrusion capacity ramp-up is anticipated in the near term, further supporting top and bottom line growth.
  • Management maintains a conservative guidance but is confident in improving both volume and margin structurally as product mix shifts to higher-value stainless steel pipes.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or immediate future fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The company discussed capital expenditure plans, including a Rs. 100 Crores capex for revamping a German plant for high-end aerospace and nuclear application.
  • Expansion and capacity additions are planned, with new projects likely to be announced in the next 6-12 months.
  • The company appears to fund capex through internal accruals and working capital management, with a net cash balance of around Rs. 230 Crores as of the call date.
  • Management did not indicate plans for raising equity or debt but mentioned planning for future expansions prudently.
  • Focus remains on capacity utilization and incremental growth rather than immediate large-scale fund raising.

Order book

Yes
  • As of October 1, the order book was close to ₹1,741 Crores.
  • The order book remains stable after accounting for received and dispatched orders, with updated figures expected soon.
  • Orders are primarily from the oil and gas sector, both domestic and international, including EPC contractors like Toyo and L&T.
  • EPC customers tend to place piecemeal orders covering material for about three months due to price volatility.
  • Customers sometimes delay order execution or inspection clearances due to pricing or financial arrangements, causing some variability around the ₹3,000 Crores annual target.
  • The company books raw materials on a back-to-back basis aligned with orders to avoid leakage.
  • Demand from water projects remains muted, affecting carbon steel orders in that segment.
  • Overall, order inflow and execution are steady with a focus on stainless steel and carbon steel products.

Capex plans

Yes
  • A new specialized instrumentation tube plant is being set up for aerospace and nuclear applications with a capex of around Rs. 100 Crores, expected to be completed in 9 to 12 months.
  • A German plant (acquired from nuclear application) is being revamped and modified with Rs. 100 Crores capex, focusing on high-end stainless steel tubes for aerospace and nuclear industries, to be completed within 9 to 12 months.
  • Additional capacity expansions have been made recently, including hot extrusion stainless steel and LSAW carbon steel plants, with investments around Rs. 165 Crores over the last 2.5 years.
  • Next major capex announcements/plans are expected within 6 to 12 months as greenfield projects take 18 to 24 months; plans include further stainless steel expansion.
  • No immediate large capex beyond these, though small backward integration or maintenance capex may occur over next two years.
  • Focus remains on ramping up utilization of new capacities and careful expansion planning.

How does Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd
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