Shri Keshav Cements & Infra LtdQ2 FY24

Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹98.5Market Cap: ₹175 CrSector: Cement & Cement Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Cement capacity expansion to 1 million tons expected by June-July 2024.
  • FY24 expected to see subdued capacity utilization of 50%-55% due to teething issues at new plant.
  • Top line for FY24 projected around INR 175-200 crores or more, with EBITDA expected to improve over current levels.
  • From FY26 onwards, full capacity utilization with optimized plant and new machinery expected, driving stronger revenue growth.
  • Improved EBITDA margins from 30%-31% currently to 35%-36% post-capex due to lower production cost (fuel, power savings).
  • Enhanced marketing efforts, increased sales force, and entry into bigger markets and government projects expected to drive volume growth.
  • Geographic sales expansion planned within South Maharashtra, Goa, North Karnataka, with potential reach to Pune and Bangalore if required.
  • Cement demand in India projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.65%, providing strong industry tailwinds.

See what Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Currently, Shri Keshav Cement has taken a loan of INR 80 crores for capex, with INR 15 crores disbursed as of September 30, 2023; the balance INR 65 crores to be disbursed by March 2024.
  • The average interest rate on borrowing is around 10.35%, with expectations of a slight reduction by 50-60 basis points.
  • There is no current plan for raising additional funds through rights issues, equity infusion, or market borrowings in the next six months.
  • The company intends to focus on repaying existing debt earlier than projected, unless new expansion opportunities arise.
  • New capital infusion will only be considered if it improves the company's growth prospects; otherwise, the focus will be on cutting down liabilities.

See what Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Shri Keshav Cement And Infra Limited is currently undertaking a capex to expand cement capacity to 1 million tons, expected to be commissioned by June-July 2024.
  • Major equipment orders are 95% complete, with remaining non-critical items to be ordered near project completion.
  • The expansion includes installation of a new kiln, breeder tower, and cooler to modernize the 30-year-old plant, aiming to reduce fuel and power consumption per ton of cement.
  • A 3 megawatt addition to solar power capacity is planned to boost profits, leveraging existing infrastructure.
  • The capex is expected to significantly improve EBITDA margins (aiming for INR900-1000 per ton) by reducing variable costs, especially energy costs, and enhance capacity utilization.
  • INR80 crore loan sanctioned for this capex; INR15 crore disbursed as of Sep 30, 2023, with the balance expected by March 2024.
  • No current plans for equity infusion; focus is on repaying debt unless new expansion opportunities arise.

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