
Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 1
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
3 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- Cement capacity expansion to 1 million tons expected by June-July 2024.
- FY24 expected to see subdued capacity utilization of 50%-55% due to teething issues at new plant.
- Top line for FY24 projected around INR 175-200 crores or more, with EBITDA expected to improve over current levels.
- From FY26 onwards, full capacity utilization with optimized plant and new machinery expected, driving stronger revenue growth.
- Improved EBITDA margins from 30%-31% currently to 35%-36% post-capex due to lower production cost (fuel, power savings).
- Enhanced marketing efforts, increased sales force, and entry into bigger markets and government projects expected to drive volume growth.
- Geographic sales expansion planned within South Maharashtra, Goa, North Karnataka, with potential reach to Pune and Bangalore if required.
- Cement demand in India projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.65%, providing strong industry tailwinds.
See what Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
Yes- Currently, Shri Keshav Cement has taken a loan of INR 80 crores for capex, with INR 15 crores disbursed as of September 30, 2023; the balance INR 65 crores to be disbursed by March 2024.
- The average interest rate on borrowing is around 10.35%, with expectations of a slight reduction by 50-60 basis points.
- There is no current plan for raising additional funds through rights issues, equity infusion, or market borrowings in the next six months.
- The company intends to focus on repaying existing debt earlier than projected, unless new expansion opportunities arise.
- New capital infusion will only be considered if it improves the company's growth prospects; otherwise, the focus will be on cutting down liabilities.
See what Shri Keshav Cements & Infra Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Shri Keshav Cement And Infra Limited is currently undertaking a capex to expand cement capacity to 1 million tons, expected to be commissioned by June-July 2024.
- Major equipment orders are 95% complete, with remaining non-critical items to be ordered near project completion.
- The expansion includes installation of a new kiln, breeder tower, and cooler to modernize the 30-year-old plant, aiming to reduce fuel and power consumption per ton of cement.
- A 3 megawatt addition to solar power capacity is planned to boost profits, leveraging existing infrastructure.
- The capex is expected to significantly improve EBITDA margins (aiming for INR900-1000 per ton) by reducing variable costs, especially energy costs, and enhance capacity utilization.
- INR80 crore loan sanctioned for this capex; INR15 crore disbursed as of Sep 30, 2023, with the balance expected by March 2024.
- No current plans for equity infusion; focus is on repaying debt unless new expansion opportunities arise.
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