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Tata Power Company LtdQ2 FY24

Tata Power Company Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 395P/E: 34.2Market Cap: ₹1.3L CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

No

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Tata Power expects robust growth fueled by strong renewable capacity additions:
  • - 3 GW commissioning in FY25 and 4 GW in FY26, including both own and third-party projects.
  • - Currently, 8 GW capacity under implementation (5 GW own, 3 GW third-party EPC).
  • Significant capex of INR 20,000 crores planned for the year:
  • - ~55-60% towards renewables (manufacturing + utility scale projects).
  • - ~30% towards Transmission & Distribution (including ongoing projects in Delhi and Odisha).
  • - 10-15% towards thermal and pumped hydro, including the Bhutan project.
  • Rooftop solar business showing a 10x increase in inquiries, expected meaningful revenue contribution from Q3/Q4 FY25.
  • Focus on complex, hybrid, and FDRE projects with storage, targeting enterprise and industrial clients.
  • Transmission capacity to grow from FY27 onwards to support expanding renewable projects.
  • Continued market leadership in rooftop solar with 50-60% market share for quality products.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Tata Power expects strong growth, supported by 19 consecutive quarters of capacity increases.
  • The company has an aggressive capex plan of INR 20,000 crores for FY '25, with ~55-60% allocated to renewables and manufacturing and 30% to transmission & distribution.
  • Renewable projects under implementation total ~8 GW (5 GW own, 3 GW third-party), with >3 GW commissioning in FY '25 and >4 GW in FY '26.
  • Hybrid and complex projects with storage will drive future growth post FY '27 as new transmission lines become available.
  • Improved profitability expected from renewable and transmission projects; roofing solar segment showing a 10x order uptick.
  • The Delhi Distribution business showed a significant profit jump aided by a onetime tariff order.
  • Credit rating upgrades (AA+ stable) are expected to reduce financing costs, enhancing profitability.
  • Earnings growth will be sustained by steady project execution, increased renewable capacity, and new business avenues like SMRs and pumped storage.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Tata Power has incurred large capex and its net debt has increased by INR 4,300 crores to INR 42,000 crores.
  • The company maintains a steady balance sheet with net debt to EBITDA less than 3x and net debt to equity less than 1.1x.
  • Credit rating has been upgraded from AA+ to AA+ stable by ICRA and CARE, which should help reduce financing costs and improve profitability.
  • No explicit mention of any new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the provided text.
  • Ongoing capex of INR 20,000 crores for FY includes 55-60% for renewables, 30% for transmission & distribution, and 10-15% for thermal and new investments.
  • The company is focusing on calibrated financial management while executing large projects with existing resources.

Order book

No
  • Tata Power currently has about 8 GW of renewable projects under implementation: 5 GW own projects and 3 GW third-party EPC projects.
  • Fully tied-up pipeline for FY '25 and '26, expecting to implement over 3 GW in FY '25 and 4 GW in FY '26.
  • Orderbook for utility-scale solar EPC has not grown quarter-on-quarter from March 2024 as focus remains on completing ongoing projects.
  • New bidding for projects will commence after the majority of ongoing projects are implemented.
  • Transmission projects are proceeding well; recently won a 765 kV intra-state transmission project in Odisha to complete in 24 months.
  • Module manufacturing capacity of 4 GW is ramping up, with stabilization expected by Q3 FY '25.
  • Capricorn orders for solar pumped business are currently not active; no fresh orders in FY '24 or Q1 FY '25.
  • Large capex of INR 20,000 crores planned for FY '25 divided across renewables (55%-60%), transmission & distribution (30%), and thermal plus pumped hydro & Bhutan project (10%-15%).

Capex plans

Yes
  • Tata Power has an ambitious capex plan of INR 20,000 crores for the year, on track for implementation.
  • About 55%-60% of this capex will go towards renewables, including renewable manufacturing plants and utility-scale projects.
  • Around 30% will be allocated to transmission and distribution projects, including ongoing distribution in Delhi and Odisha.
  • Approximately 10%-15% will be invested in thermal operations, pumped hydro, and the Bhutan hydro project.
  • The Bhutan hydro project requires an investment of INR 6,900 crores; Tata Power holds 40% equity and will handle sales and operations.
  • The 4 GW cell and module manufacturing plant is commissioned and stabilizing, with further capacity ramp-up expected.
  • Transmission business capex is ongoing, with plans to expand aggressive bids in renewables and transmission.
  • Pumped storage projects are progressing with approvals nearly in place, and govt. policy support is expected for these.

How does Tata Power Company Ltd rank vs peers in Power?

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1Tata Power Company Ltd
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