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Triveni Turbine LtdQ2 FY23

Triveni Turbine Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 671P/E: 54.7Market Cap: ₹19.3K CrSector: Electrical Equipment

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Company confident of sustaining strong growth trajectory; Q1 FY24 turnover grew 45% YoY.
  • Indian steam turbine market expected to grow around 25% annually this year.
  • Enquiry book expanded by 56% domestically and over 22% internationally, indicating robust demand.
  • International markets anticipated to contribute significantly to future growth, with focus on USA, Europe, Southeast Asia, and Africa.
  • Expansion in aftermarket services and refurbishment business seen as major growth drivers.
  • Growth driven by renewable energy sectors including biomass, waste heat recovery, and decentralized power solutions.
  • Sustained profitability targeted with PBT margin above 20%.
  • Growth expected from both new product sales and aftermarket/refurbishment segments.
  • Long-term trend favors faster international business growth compared to domestic market.
  • Growth anticipated to be steady and sustainable rather than sharp spikes seen in past cycles.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Triveni Turbines is confident of sustaining strong growth with Q1 FY24 showing a 45% increase in turnover and 50-59% growth in EBITDA and profit after tax respectively.
  • The company expects the Indian steam turbine market to grow around 25% annually, supported by a robust enquiry book.
  • International business growth is anticipated to outpace domestic growth in the long term due to expanded global presence.
  • The order book provides visibility for about 9-10 months of revenue, indicating sustained revenue flow.
  • Margins are expected to be maintained above a 20% PBT level, balancing growth with profitability.
  • The refurbishment business and aftersales segment are targeted for rapid expansion, contributing to margin stability and earnings growth.
  • Commitment to maintaining payback policies to shareholders ensures a balanced approach to profitability and capital management.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of current or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided content.
  • The company has a substantial cash reserve (~₹747 crore) and operates on negative working capital, which reduces immediate financing needs.
  • The management adopts a prudent cash view and maintains a payback policy to shareholders, including buybacks, but any new buyback or capital raising decisions will be made by the Board.
  • Expansion plans, especially international growth, will be funded through internal accruals rather than immediate capital raising.
  • Overall, the company focuses on conservative and focused growth without explicit plans for new fundraising announced.

Order book

Yes
  • Record closing order book as of June 30, 2023, at ₹14.05 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year (Page 3).
  • Order booking for Q1 FY 24 was ₹4.53 billion, an increase of 26% year-on-year (Page 3).
  • Order book provides approximately 9 to 10 months of revenue visibility (Page 10).
  • Domestic order book increased by 56% in Q1, with the international enquiry book growing over 22% (Page 11).
  • International orders contributed 53% of overall order booking in the quarter, growing 128% (Page 3).
  • The robust enquiry pipeline suggests sustained order booking growth across domestic and international markets (Pages 3-6, 11).
  • Refurbishment orders and aftermarket segments are also contributing significantly to the order book (Pages 14-17).

Capex plans

Yes
  • The Board has not taken any decision on specific capital investments or new setups as of now.
  • Management and Board continuously explore routes for international expansion.
  • The U.S. market, due to its large size and current growth opportunities, is a key focus area.
  • Entry strategies like refurbishment are considered, especially where installed base is limited (e.g., U.S.).
  • Cash reserves (~₹747 crore) are strong; the company operates on negative working capital with about ₹400 crore customer advances.
  • Company maintains a prudent view on cash and retains a shareholder payback policy.
  • No announced changes in approach to buybacks or other shareholder return mechanisms; decisions on capital investments are to be made by the Board as appropriate.

How does Triveni Turbine Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?

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1Triveni Turbine Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

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