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Triveni Turbine LtdQ3 FY24

Triveni Turbine Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 671P/E: 54.7Market Cap: ₹19.3K CrSector: Electrical Equipment

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Triveni Turbines expects medium-term robust business performance with continued growth.
  • Growth drivers include increased contribution from above 30 MW segment, API turbines, and refurbishment segments.
  • Export order book has grown substantially (71% YoY), now constituting 61% of total, indicating strong international demand.
  • Domestic market expected to provide a stable base with moderate growth despite recent election-related slowdowns.
  • Aftermarket business (spare parts, services, refurbishment) and digital offerings projected to contribute significantly.
  • Product diversification and new technology commercialization (e.g., CO2 turbines) to support revenue expansion.
  • Order booking momentum has been strong, with 25-32% YoY growth in recent quarters.
  • Capex planned for FY26-27 to support capacity expansion aligned with expected sales growth.
  • The company does not provide specific guidance but emphasizes sustained growth backed by a substantial order book and enquiry pipeline.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Triveni Turbines expects robust business performance and sustained growth supported by a strong order book, particularly in renewables, API, and Industrial Power Generation segments. (Page 4)
  • Export order booking showed 63% YoY growth in H1 FY25, indicating strong revenue prospects from international markets. (Page 3-4)
  • Aftermarket business is growing and contributing significantly to revenue with higher-margin orders, supporting profitability. (Page 12)
  • Margins are strong; the company aims to maintain EBITDA margins around 20-25% and emphasizes expanding sales and order booking to drive revenue growth. (Page 12)
  • Product mix diversification, including newer higher MW products and refurbishment services, provides medium- to long-term growth runway. (Pages 3, 7)
  • The US operation, currently loss-making, is expected to start contributing positively from FY26-FY27 onward. (Page 16)
  • No formal earnings or EPS guidance provided, but record order bookings and execution visibility suggest improving earnings. (Page 15)

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Fundraise plans

  • The company indicated potential capital expenditure (capex) for expansion in FY 26 - FY 27.
  • The planned capex is expected to be in the range of ₹70-80 crore annually.
  • This expansion plan will require Board approval.
  • The management mentioned that this capex will be well within the company's resources, implying no immediate need for external fundraising.
  • There is no explicit mention of raising new funds through debt or equity in the near term.
  • The focus seems to be on utilizing internal resources for growth and expansion rather than external fundraisings.

Order book

Yes
  • Total outstanding order book as of September 30, 2024: ₹17.96 billion (up 22% YoY).
  • Domestic order book: ₹7.09 billion (down 16% YoY).
  • Export order book: ₹10.87 billion (up 71% YoY), constituting 61% of the total order book.
  • Q2 FY25 order booking: ₹5.72 billion (up 25% YoY).
  • Export order booking in Q2 FY25: ₹3.04 billion (up 50% YoY).
  • Domestic order booking in Q2 FY25: grew by 4%.
  • Half-year order booking FY25: ₹12.08 billion (up 32% YoY).
  • Domestic order booking for H1 FY25: up 3%.
  • Export order booking for H1 FY25: up 63%.
  • Product segment order booking for Q2 FY25: ₹3.98 billion (30% YoY growth).
  • Aftermarket segment order booking for Q2 FY25: ₹1.74 billion (13% growth).
  • Orders from API, newer markets, and higher MW categories are growing and contributing significantly.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Triveni Turbines follows an asset-light business model, focusing on assembly, testing, and quality assurance rather than heavy manufacturing.
  • Given strong growth, the company plans to seek board approval for capital expenditure (capex) to expand capacity during FY 26 - FY 27.
  • The anticipated annualized capex is approximately ₹70-80 crore.
  • Capacity is designed to be fungible between in-house production and third-party refurbishment needs, aiming to reduce vendor dependence and risks.
  • Investments have been made in the U.S. to establish a workshop and workforce; though currently loss-making (₹25 crore loss estimated this year), it is expected to start contributing to revenue from next year onward.
  • Strategic sourcing initiatives are underway to diversify the vendor base, include imports from low-cost origins, and stabilize margins.
  • The company continues R&D investments significantly above reported 1.2-1.3% of turnover to develop new products and sustain growth.

How does Triveni Turbine Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?

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1Triveni Turbine Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

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