Atul Auto LtdQ3 FY17
Atul Auto Ltd Q3 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹483P/E: 33.3Market Cap: ₹1.4K CrSector: Agricultural, Commercial & Construction Vehicles
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
No
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →The company targets minimum double-digit volume growth for the second half of FY `17 despite external uncertainties. (Page 7)
- →Positive momentum in demand is expected to continue for the rest of the year due to good monsoon and positive economic environment. (Page 2)
- →The shortfall in first half FY `17 volumes compared to previous year is expected to be covered soon; strong sales since August indicate improving trends. (Page 2)
- →Electric three-wheeler market potential is large (120,000 units annually); company aims to capture 10-20% market share adding 20,000-25,000 units to volume. (Page 10)
- →The company is confident to end the fiscal year on a positive note in volume terms. (Page 7)
- →Exports currently contribute about 3% of revenue, with focus on smaller international markets for consistent volume growth. (Page 11, 5)
- →Expansion plans include starting new project work by March-April 2017 with commercial production from FY `19 to meet growing demand. (Page 11)
Margin guidance
Category 3- →The company targets minimum double-digit volume growth for the second half of FY `17 (Page 7).
- →Confident of ending FY `17 with positive numbers, expecting 5-10% growth in vehicle sales for the remaining part of the year (Page 8).
- →Net profit for the quarter increased by 175.65% Quarter on Quarter, indicating strong operating performance (Page 3).
- →EBITDA margin improved to 16.10% versus 15.73% in the corresponding quarter last year; gross contribution improved to 28% from 27.03% (Page 3).
- →EPS for the quarter stood at Rs. 6.29 per share, maintaining steady earnings (Page 3).
- →Management expects other expenses to revert back to normal levels, which should support margin stability (Page 18).
- →Investment in R&D is consistent but not very high (~Rs. 4-5 crores annually), focusing on sustaining product upgrades (Page 16).
- →Electric vehicle segment presents growth opportunity with potential to add volumes and expand product basket (Pages 7, 10).
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Fundraise plans
No- →For CAPEX, the company has already incurred close to Rs. 50 crores for land acquisition at Greenfield expansion.
- →The balance Rs. 100 crores is likely to be incurred over the next two years (FY18 and FY19).
- →For FY17, no large CAPEX is planned; the company intends to fund expansion through internal accruals only.
- →No specific mention of new fundraising through debt or equity was made during the call.
- →The company emphasizes utilizing internal accruals for upcoming investments.
- →No indications of external financing or capital raising initiatives were disclosed.
Order book
- →The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders.
- →However, management discussed sales volumes: approximately 3,000 electric three-wheelers sold in select pockets during the seeding phase.
- →Expectation of double-digit growth in volume for FY17.
- →Monthly sales reached a record high with over 5,000 vehicles sold in October.
- →Electric three-wheelers potential market size is around 120,000 units annually with a target to capture 10-20% share.
- →New Greenfield expansion project work planned from March-April 2017 with commercial production starting FY19, indicating anticipation of increased orders.
- →Export orders remain insignificant currently, at about 3% of revenue.
- →The company is focusing on expanding dealership networks and markets to grow sales and order inflow.
Capex plans
Yes- →The company has already incurred close to Rs. 50 crores for land acquisition for a Greenfield expansion.
- →An additional Rs. 100 crores is planned to be spent over the next two years (FY18 and FY19).
- →For FY17, no large CAPEX is expected; the expenditure will be internal accrual funded.
- →Project work for new facilities is expected to start around March-April 2017.
- →Commercial production from the new facility is planned to commence by FY19 (around April 2018).
- →Investments in R&D are modest, around Rs. 4-5 crores annually, focusing on upgrading products rather than major new developments.
- →No significant CAPEX for electric vehicle setup is needed as existing infrastructure suffices, with expenditures well below Rs. 5 crores.
How does Atul Auto Ltd rank vs peers in Agricultural, Commercial & Construction Vehicles?
Pro feature1Atul Auto Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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