Gujarat Energy LtdQ1 FY24

Gujarat Energy Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹220.08P/E: 10.5Market Cap: ₹20.6K CrSector: Gas

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Industrial volume growth: 10% growth in Q1 FY23-24; overall volume up from 8.86 mmscmd (Q4 FY22-23) to 9.22 mmscmd.
  • Morbi industrial cluster volumes increased to 4.01 mmscmd; potential to reach 5 mmscmd in H2 FY23-24 and beyond with margin expansion.
  • New GA volumes (CNG and PNG) currently at 0.5-0.6 mmscmd; expected to grow to around 1 mmscmd by end of FY25.
  • CNG vehicle base around 8.5 lakh vehicles; addition run rate improving with ~30,000 new vehicles added in current quarter.
  • CNG stations doubled from 400 to 800 in last three years; plan to add 60-70 new stations mainly in Ahmedabad rural and other new GAs annually.
  • Expansion focus on Thane, Ahmedabad rural, Rajasthan (Jalore-Sirohi), and Punjab industrial/commercial clusters.
  • Capex of INR 1000-1200 crore annually for next 3 years targeting backbone infrastructure, new and existing GAs, and CNG.
  • Expect balanced strategy between volume growth and margin maintenance with EBITDA target around Rs.4.5-5.5 per SCM.

See what Gujarat Energy Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • Gujarat Gas plans a CAPEX of INR 1000 to 1200 crores per annum for the next three years.
  • The CAPEX will be primarily funded through internal accruals/cash flows.
  • There may be occasional small bridge loans to advance CAPEX for specific demand pockets.
  • No immediate plans for additional investment or fundraising for the LNG project.
  • The company continues to be a zero-debt company.
  • No mention of any new equity fundraising; equity investment related only to Mundra LNG terminal stake acquisition, which is mostly finalized.

See what Gujarat Energy Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Gujarat Gas plans a CAPEX of ₹1,000 to ₹1,200 crore per annum for the next three years, funded mainly through internal accruals.
  • CAPEX split is roughly equal among new Geographical Areas (GAs), existing GAs, and CNG infrastructure.
  • Investments include augmenting infrastructure, adding capacity, converting daughter boosters, and adding 60-70 new CNG stations mostly in Ahmedabad rural area.
  • No immediate new investments planned in LNG infrastructure, but the company keeps evaluating long-term and short-term LNG sourcing options.
  • Strategic investment includes acquiring around 7.87% equity stake in Mundra LNG terminal, helping with storage, loading, and distribution capabilities, supporting growth in gas demand.
  • Focus also on expanding CGD infrastructure aggressively in new and existing areas to capitalize on industrial and commercial gas demand.

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