Inox Green Energy Services LtdQ2 FY23
Inox Green Energy Services Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹198P/E: 89.0Market Cap: ₹7.1K CrSector: Commercial Services & Supplies
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- →INOX Green Energy expects to add 1,500 MWs organically over FY24 to FY26.
- →They plan to add around 1,000 MWs annually, a mix of organic and inorganic growth.
- →The company is targeting a fleet size of approximately 3.8 GW by end of FY24.
- →INOX Wind (parent company) is targeting to execute at least 500 MW of orders per annum from FY24 onwards, which will flow to INOX Green.
- →Inorganic growth includes acquiring portfolios from the 10 GW fragmented market of small O&M players, with several acquisition talks ongoing.
- →Recent acquisition of I-Fox added over 250 MW to the fleet, performing better than expectations.
- →The overall wind capacity additions in India are expected to be around 100 GW in the next 8-10 years, providing a large market opportunity.
- →The company foresees increasing profitability with operating leverage and built-in 5% annual price escalations in O&M contracts.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →INOX Green aims to double its O&M portfolio to 6 GW from 3.1 GW at Q1 FY24 end via organic and inorganic growth.
- →Organic addition expected: 1,500 MW during FY24 to FY26 (approx. 500 MW per year).
- →Addition includes 250 MW acquired through controlling stake in I-Fox Windtechnik.
- →EBITDA expected to rise with portfolio doubling; forecasted EBITDA could reach ~INR 250-275 crore by FY26 (from ~INR 97 crore at 2,800 MW).
- →EBIT margins steady around 50%, supported by built-in 5% YoY escalation in contracts and operating leverage from higher MWs.
- →Expected net profitability improvement from FY26 onward, as accumulated losses (~INR 600 crore) get offset by operational profits.
- →Asset sale (Nani Virani) expected to help become net debt free and improve profit conversion.
- →The business model is asset-lite with strong free cash flow and focused on annuity-like revenue streams.
3 more insights locked — sign up free to unlock
Fundraise plans
Yes- →No specific guidance or announcement regarding new fundraising through debt or equity was made in the Q1 FY24 earnings call.
- →The company mentioned converting long-term money for promoter backing to avoid taking capital back from INOX Green, emphasizing an asset-lite, free cash flow business model.
- →Focus is on growing the O&M business organically and through acquisitions rather than raising fresh capital.
- →The net debt situation was clarified, showing a reduction from around INR 300 crores to approximately INR 260 crores after receivables and warrant proceeds.
- →The company indicated it is liquidating its last generating asset and does not plan to add new generating assets requiring capex.
- →Overall, the strategy highlights sustaining free cash flow and annuity-based growth rather than fresh fundraising.
Order book
Yes- →As of Q1 FY24, INOX Green Energy’s portfolio was approximately 3.1 GW, expected to reach around 3.8 GW by end of FY24 through organic and inorganic additions.
- →The company aims to add 1,000 MW per year over the next three years (FY24-FY26), totaling about 3,000 MW incrementally.
- →Of this, 1,500 MW is expected organically from INOX Wind during FY24 to FY26.
- →Inorganic growth targets include acquiring up to 1,500 MW from fragmented small O&M players managing about 10 GW of distressed OEM wind fleets.
- →INOX Green has already acquired a controlling stake (51%) in I-Fox Windtechnik, adding 250+ MW to the fleet as of Q4 FY23.
- →The company is in talks with multiple players and expects potential large deals that could accelerate acquisitions beyond the stated targets.
- →Nani Virani asset sale (~50 MW) is expected to conclude soon, which will help become net debt-free.
Capex plans
Yes- →INOX Green Energy Services Limited operates primarily as a free cash flow, asset-light O&M business.
- →The company does not intend to allocate capital to generating assets going forward; instead, it is liquidating its last asset sold to Adani.
- →Capital expenditure is minimal, limited to about INR 1 crore for tools.
- →Any new common infrastructure CapEx is undertaken by Resco, which acts as a trustee of that asset; INOX Green will be the O&M service provider for those assets.
- →The focus remains on organic and inorganic growth via acquisitions rather than capital-intensive asset additions.
- →The business model is oriented towards generating annuity-like returns with very limited capital investments.
How does Inox Green Energy Services Ltd rank vs peers in Commercial Services & Supplies?
Pro feature1Inox Green Energy Services Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3
See full Commercial Services & Supplies sector rankings
Want more stocks like Inox Green Energy Services Ltd?
Build an AI portfolio filtered by sector, market cap, and growth rank. Takes 2 minutes.
Build my portfolio