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Kamdhenu LtdQ1 FY24

Kamdhenu Ltd

Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Kamdhenu Limited targets doubling steel business revenue in the next 5 years, increasing franchisee steel volume from 32.5 lakh MT in FY '24 to 68 lakh MT by FY 2029.
  • They aim to raise franchisee capacity from current ~41 lakh MT to 50 lakh MT in FY '25.
  • Expected steel industry growth is 8%-9% annually, but Kamdhenu plans to grow at 16%-17%, outpacing the industry.
  • Paint business revenue expected to grow from INR 292 crores in FY '24 to around INR 380 crores in FY '25, with EBITDA margin improving from 8% to 9.5%.
  • The company focuses on value-added/premium products to drive both volume and value growth.
  • Expansion primarily through scaling capacity of existing franchisees, rather than increasing franchisee numbers.
  • Market expansion focus on Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, smaller towns, and underserved regions.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Kamdhenu Steel business targets to double revenue in next 5 years, increasing franchisee capacity from 41 lakh MT to 68 lakh MT by 2029.
  • EBITDA margin for paint business expected to improve from 8% in FY '24 to 9.5% in FY '25.
  • Paint business revenue targeted to grow over 20% in FY '25 from INR 292 crores in FY '24 to approximately INR 380 crores.
  • Steel business PBT grew 22% YoY in FY '24; aims to sustain and improve margins with royalty per tonne expected to increase from INR 395 to INR 500 over next 5 years.
  • Steel segment pursuing 16-17% annual volume growth, well above industry growth of 8-10%, contributing to substantial earnings growth.
  • Overall, Kamdhenu expects PAT and EBITDA growth backed by capacity expansion, improved realizations, cost control, and premium product focus.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Kamdhenu Limited is raising INR 100 crores through the issue of convertible warrants on a preferential basis over the next 18 months.
  • So far, INR 24.27 crores have already been received from this fundraising.
  • The capital raise aims to remodel the franchisee business by acquiring stakes in some franchisee units.
  • Funds will also be used for investing in existing and new business ventures in India or overseas for diversification.
  • Additional planned uses include CapEx in existing manufacturing units, acquiring or setting up new office premises, and enhancing brand positioning to leverage overall brand premium.
  • No specific mention of new debt fundraising was made; the company continues to remain debt-free as of March 31, 2024.

Order book

  • Kamdhenu Limited's franchisee units typically maintain a fully booked order book, with capacity utilization around 60-70%.
  • Steel segment capacity utilization is relatively moderate due to single-shift operations.
  • The asset-light franchisee model ensures steady demand and utilization among franchisees.
  • No specific numeric value for total pending orders or order book size disclosed.
  • Management indicated ongoing efforts to increase capacity, from current 41 lakh metric tonnes to 50 lakh metric tonnes in FY '25 and targeting 68 lakh metric tonnes by 2029.
  • The model supports continuous demand within a 200-300 km radius to minimize transportation costs, sustaining franchisee order levels.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Kamdhenu Limited is raising INR 100 crores through the issue of convertible warrants on a preferential basis over the next 18 months, with INR 24.27 crores already received.
  • The raised funds will be deployed to remodel the franchisee business by strategically acquiring stakes in some franchisee units.
  • Investment will also be made in existing and new business ventures in India and overseas for diversification.
  • CapEx plans include investments in existing manufacturing units and acquiring or setting up new office premises.
  • The company plans to enhance and strengthen its brand position and corporate image to leverage brand premium.
  • Specifically, for Q1 FY '25, the company expects to deploy INR 25 crores of cash raised recently.
  • For setting up a greenfield TMT bar capacity of 1 lakh metric tonnes annually (though not viable), CapEx is estimated at INR 70-80 crores excluding land; a capacity of 2 lakh metric tonnes requires about INR 70-80 crores excluding land.
  • Overall, capital spending will support capacity expansion, strategic acquisitions, and brand-building initiatives.

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