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PNB Housing Finance LtdQ4 FY25

PNB Housing Finance Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,044P/E: 11.9Market Cap: ₹27.2K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

No

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • PNB Housing Finance targets retail loan book growth of around 17% for FY25, up from about 15% expected for FY24.
  • Disbursement growth is projected at approximately 22% for the next fiscal, improving from near 20% currently.
  • The company plans to scale up branch network to 300 by March, including 160 Roshni branches and 140 Prime branches, assisting growth.
  • Emerging market vertical launching from April with 40-50 branches focused on higher-yield business aiming for a 35-40 bps yield uplift from prime.
  • Focus remains on balancing growth with profitability rather than aggressive expansion, with concentration on retail (now 96.5% of portfolio), salaried customers, and mid-ticket size loans.
  • Improvements in collections and write-back opportunities are expected to support financial performance.
  • Growth in southern markets and recovery in western markets anticipated in coming quarters.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Retail book growth guidance for FY25 is around 17%, with disbursement growth targeted at about 22%.
  • Profit After Tax (PAT) has shown strong growth: 26% YoY for Q3 and 39% YoY for 9 months of FY24.
  • Return on Assets (ROA) improved to 2.08% for 9 months FY24 versus 1.61% last year; Return on Equity (ROE) is at 10.5%.
  • Credit cost guidance for FY25 expected to remain similar to current (~31-32 bps), supporting stable profitability.
  • Write-back opportunities from corporate (~INR 1,700 crore pool) and retail (~INR 500 crore pool) assets could boost earnings over next 3-4 quarters.
  • Net Interest Margin (NIM) expected to settle around 3.5%, slightly lower than current 3.65%, balancing yield and funding cost improvements.
  • Continued focus on profitable growth with calibrated expansion to balance growth with profitability for sustainable earnings improvement.

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Fundraise plans

- PNB Housing Finance has drawn the first tranche of a sanctioned INR 3,000 crore funding from NHB, which will help reduce borrowing costs. - The company is actively raising wholesale debt through commercial papers (CPs) and non-convertible debentures (NCDs) and is in continuous discussion for possible repricing with banks. - Deposit growth is being focused on moderately; deposit cost is currently lower and deposits are long-term sticky instruments suited for leverage. - On equity, there is no direct mention of new fundraising in this transcript; focus appears on managing growth with existing capital and improving profitability. - RBI has issued a draft circular affecting deposit acceptance; PNB Housing is awaiting final guidelines to possibly adjust deposit strategy. Overall, the approach is to grow liabilities via lower-cost deposits and wholesale debt, leveraging NHB funds, without aggressive equity raising at this time.

Order book

No
The transcript from the PNB Housing Finance Q3 and 9M FY24 earnings call does not explicitly mention details about the current or expected order book or pending orders. The discussion primarily focuses on: - Loan book growth and disbursements (retail and corporate). - Write-back opportunities from corporate (~INR 1,700 crore) and retail (~INR 500 crore) pools. - Credit cost guidance and portfolio quality. - Branch expansions and geographic focus. - Yield, spread, and cost of borrowing dynamics. No specific information on order book or pending orders is provided in the available pages.

Capex plans

Yes
The transcript on the provided pages does not explicitly mention any current or future capital expenditure (capex), capital investment, or strategic investment plans by PNB Housing Finance Limited. However, some relevant points related to strategic initiatives include: - Expansion of branch network: Planning to grow branches to around 300 by March, including 160 Roshni branches and about 140 Prime branches, plus 40-50 emerging market branches starting April, targeting higher-yield business. - Focus on strengthening geographical mix, especially increasing contribution from South India. - Emphasis on scaling up the Roshni and emerging market verticals to improve yields. - No direct mention of any specific capex spend or strategic investments beyond branch expansion and business vertical diversification. Hence, the strategic focus appears to be on branch network expansion and segment diversification rather than large capital investments.

How does PNB Housing Finance Ltd rank vs peers in Finance?

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1PNB Housing Finance Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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