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REC LtdQ3 FY25

REC Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 362P/E: 5.6Market Cap: ₹91.1K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • REC Limited targets loan book growth of 11% to 12% in FY 2025-26, despite elevated prepayments in H1.
  • The company has a committed order book of nearly Rs. 2.5 lakh crores supporting future growth.
  • By 2030, REC aims for a Rs. 10 lakh crores loan book, with renewable energy expected to contribute 30% (~Rs. 3 lakh crores).
  • Highest half-yearly sanctions of Rs. 2.5 lakh crores reflect a 34% growth, with half-yearly disbursements at Rs. 1.15 lakh crores, a 27% increase YoY.
  • The power sector investment requirement over the next 4-5 years is estimated at Rs. 46 lakh crores, offering significant market potential.
  • REC expects continued robust business from state and private sectors, focusing on projects with good revenue streams regardless of ownership.
  • The company foresees growth in renewable portfolio share, distribution, and generation sectors, maintaining NIM between 3.5%-3.75%.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • REC is confident of achieving loan growth of 11% to 12% by the end of FY '26, supported by a committed order book of nearly Rs. 2.5 lakh crores.
  • Profit growth was strong in H1 FY '26, with highest ever half-yearly profits of Rs. 8,877 crores (19% YoY increase).
  • Earnings per share (EPS) improved to Rs. 33.71 per share; book value at Rs. 314.21 per share.
  • The company expects continued good performance in the next two quarters, aiming to maintain or improve profitability.
  • Return on net worth increased to 22.14%, indicating strong capital efficiency.
  • Asset quality improvement and recoveries (e.g., Kaleshwaram prepayment) support stable earnings outlook.
  • Spread and net interest margins targeted to stay within 2.75%-3.5% and 3.5%-3.75%, respectively, despite growth in renewables and competition.
  • Resolution of stressed assets expected in FY '26, which should further stabilize earnings.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No specific mention of current or future fundraising through equity during the call.
  • Borrowing cost increased marginally due to risk mitigation measures in foreign currency borrowings.
  • Foreign currency borrowings of Rs. 1,55,000 crores are about 99% hedged.
  • There is focus on managing borrowing costs, with 80-85% of borrowings at fixed cost.
  • No explicit plan disclosed for raising new debt or equity in the near term.
  • Management emphasizes achieving loan growth of 11%-12% despite prepayments, indicating continued lending capacity.
  • RBI's new project financing norms effective October 1, 2025, apply to new projects, potentially impacting future sanctions but not immediate fundraising.
  • Comments suggest fundraising and costs will be carefully optimized without significantly altering the borrowing profile.

Order book

Yes
  • REC Limited has a committed order book of nearly Rs. 2.5 lakh crores as of October 29, 2025.
  • This robust order book supports future growth and underpins the company's confidence in achieving an 11% to 12% loan growth rate in the coming years.
  • With plans to increase the loan book to Rs. 10 lakh crores by 2030, the current order book is a significant foundation toward that target.
  • The company sees a large market potential across various power sector segments including renewables, thermal, hydro, nuclear, storage, transmission, and distribution investment totaling approximately Rs. 46 lakh crores over the next 4-5 years.

Capex plans

Yes
  • REC has a committed order book of nearly Rs. 2.5 lakh crores indicating strong future capital investment opportunities.
  • Growth expectations include increasing share of renewables, generation, and distribution sectors, reflecting ongoing and future capex.
  • The company is optimistic about growth in sanctioned projects, with generation sanctions increasing from Rs. 53,000 crores in H1 ’25 to Rs. 1,13,000 crores.
  • Distribution sanctions have also grown substantially from Rs. 36,000 crores to Rs. 71,000 crores.
  • REC plans to fund projects based on good revenue streams regardless of government or private ownership.
  • There is a focus on improving infrastructure, reliability, and quality of power distribution, expected to drive capex growth post debt restructuring in DISCOMs.
  • No specific new strategic investments detailed, but ongoing project financing aligned with government and private sector initiatives under NEP 2032.

How does REC Ltd rank vs peers in Finance?

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