REC LtdQ1 FY25

REC Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹292P/E: 5.1Market Cap: ₹82.4K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • REC Limited aims to maintain a loan book growth trajectory of 15% to 20%, targeting more than 17% growth over the next four years.
  • Asset under management is expected to double to about INR 10 lakh crores by 2028-29, earlier than the initially anticipated 2030.
  • Renewable energy portfolio currently represents 8% of total loans but is expected to increase to about 30% in the next 5 to 6 years.
  • Conventional generation, transmission, and distribution together will continue to account for 50%-60% of the loan book.
  • Disbursements are targeted at INR 1.9 to 2 lakh crores for the current financial year, with about 40% from transmission and distribution, nearly 20% from renewable energy, and the remainder from conventional generation and infrastructure logistics.
  • The growth in renewable energy disbursements is expected to be substantial with a focus on projects backed by PPAs and growing competition in the sector.

See what REC Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

- REC Limited has a healthy borrowing position with a current outstanding borrowing of INR4,58,794 crores, a 15% increase year-over-year. - Foreign currency borrowings have increased from 16% to about 29% of total borrowings, leveraging cheaper cost of funds with all-in cost below 6.7% including hedging. - No internal cap on foreign currency borrowing, with approvals sought from RBI as needed; around USD 700 million foreign currency borrowing currently available. - They have successfully raised USD 6 billion last year through RBI approvals applied thrice. - The company expects to maintain a capital adequacy ratio of 26.77%, indicating strong capital buffers. - While not explicitly mentioned, growth plans targeting doubling AUM by 2028-29 imply potential ongoing fundraises to support growth. - No specific mention of new equity fundraising plans in the available transcript. In summary, REC relies on both domestic and increasing foreign currency debt borrowings with no stated immediate equity raise plans.

See what REC Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The distribution network in India is quite old (40-50 years) and will require standardization or replacement over the next 10 to 20 years, leading to significant capex in the distribution sector.
  • Renewable energy portfolio, currently 8% of the total loan book, is expected to increase to about 30% in the next 5 to 6 years.
  • Conventional generation, transmission, and distribution combined will make up about 50% to 60% of the portfolio.
  • Renewable energy projects under large hydro take 6-8 years to commission; other renewable projects like solar and wind typically commission in 2 to 3 years.
  • The loan book growth will focus on energy transition, including financing 74 GW thermal capacity projects mainly by state-owned entities and joint ventures.
  • Infrastructure and logistics portfolio targeted to go from 12% to about 20% by 2030.
  • Green energy corridor investments and storage solutions aligned with government’s energy transition goals.

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