REC LtdQ3 FY23

REC Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹292P/E: 5.1Market Cap: ₹82.4K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • REC expects a 10% growth in disbursements for the current year, targeting around ₹85,000 to ₹90,000 crores.
  • For the next year, management targets a 12% growth in disbursements.
  • Over the next three to four years, consistent growth of around 12% annually is anticipated due to expanding opportunities in renewable energy and infrastructure sectors.
  • India’s per capita power consumption is currently one-third of the global average, indicating significant future demand growth.
  • Renewable energy and sustainable climate change initiatives, along with government infrastructure priorities (including allocation of ₹10,00,000 crores in the budget), will drive growth.
  • The loan book is also expected to diversify, with private sector participation in new areas like hydrogen and ethanol, though this transition will take time (targeting 25-30% private participation by 2030).
  • Overall, REC plans volume growth alongside diversification into non-power infrastructure sectors like metro projects, roads, airports, and hospitals.

See what REC Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company is actively targeting large-scale green bond issuances, aiming for around ₹1,00,000 crore over the next 3-4 years.
  • For the current year, they have already sanctioned ₹21,000 crore in green renewable energy projects and plan additional green bond issuances, including international ones (~₹50,000 crore).
  • Foreign currency borrowing is ongoing, with an approved automatic route limit up to $750 million and annual approvals sought from RBI for higher limits; currently operating at about $11 million with room to raise about $5 million more.
  • Capital gain bonds are also a rising source of funds, increasing steadily.
  • Bank loans, bonds, and ECBs (External Commercial Borrowings) form the funding mix; flexibility to choose the lowest cost option between corporate bonds, bank term loans, and others is maintained.
  • Roadshows for green bond issuance are planned, with 5-year tenors considered, not tax-free, mainly offshore.
  • The company plans 10-12% loan book growth annually, reflecting ongoing fundraising aligned with project financing needs.

See what REC Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Targeting around ₹1,00,000 crore investment through green bonds in the next 3-4 years.
  • Distribution sector reform scheme (RDSS) involves ₹3,00,000 crore investment over next 3-4 years; ₹97,000 crore as GoI grant, balance through state borrowings.
  • Transmission sector requires about ₹1,00,000 crore for renewable energy evacuation.
  • Generation capacity limited to 30,000 MW conventional, costing ₹8 crore per MW.
  • Smart metering: Installing 25 crore prepaid smart meters nationwide; ₹1,50,000 crore business on OPEX mode with guaranteed payments for 8-10 years.
  • Infrastructure diversification into metro, roadways, highways, airports, ports, and hospitals.
  • Private sector renewable investments expected to rise to 25-30% over next 3-4 years.
  • CAPEX projects continue with government guarantees; some private backed by assets.
  • Resolution plans involve fresh CAPEX of around ₹1,500 crore for unit completion in operational assets.

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