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REC LtdQ1 FY22

REC Ltd Q1 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 355P/E: 5.6Market Cap: ₹91.1K CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

N/A

Margin

N/A

Fundraise

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Order

N/A

Capex

N/A

0 of 0 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

  • REC expects better growth in the upcoming year compared to the previous year.
  • Disbursements are expected to grow at a normal pace of around 10% over the base year 2019-2020.
  • There is a significant focus on the energy transition sector, including renewables, associated transmission, and emerging areas like electric vehicle charging and irrigation projects.
  • Reduction in interest rates from April 1, 2021, to remain competitive is expected to help improve turnover and disbursements.
  • Growth in electricity demand is anticipated, supported by government schemes, such as the revamped distribution scheme with grants of over ₹1 lakh crore.
  • The company is optimistic about maintaining or exceeding current profit levels with growth in loan book and disbursement volumes.
  • New business segments like hydro-mechanical and civil works in irrigation projects are opening additional growth avenues.

Margin guidance

  • Profits expected to remain in the same range as the exceptional FY2021, with possible slight variations depending on interest rate movements (Sanjay Malhotra, Pg 16).
  • High return on net worth achieved (22%) may not sustain at the same level but overall profit levels should be maintained (Pg 16).
  • Disbursement and loan book growth expected to be around 10% over the base year 2019-2020 under normal conditions (Pg 12).
  • Growth opportunities in renewable energy, energy efficiency, e-vehicles, and new segments like lift irrigation and hydro-mechanical projects expected to support business expansion (Pg 4).
  • After an exceptional year driven by Atmanirbhar liquidity infusion, the company expects to maintain or slightly exceed current profit levels (Pg 4, 16).
  • Resolutions of stressed assets and recoveries expected to support profitability going forward (Pg 9, 11).

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Fundraise plans

  • REC Limited plans to improve its CRAR (Capital to Risk-weighted Assets Ratio) and debt-equity ratios to reduce the cost of borrowing and support business expansion.
  • The company may need to raise funds to invest in the National Financial Institution for Infrastructure as announced in the budget.
  • Dividend payouts were slightly lower recently to maintain better capital ratios, suggesting a focus on strengthening the balance sheet ahead of fundraising or expansion.
  • No specific mention of immediate equity or debt fundraising is made, but the emphasis on improving financial ratios and exploring expansion opportunities implies potential future fundraising.
  • Overall, REC is positioning for growth by maintaining strong capital adequacy and gearing ratios, which may involve raising funds through debt or equity as needed.

Order book

- REC Limited has a large order book as mentioned by Sanjay Malhotra on page 16. - The company is confident about maintaining profits and growth due to this large order book. - Order book growth contributes positively to the outlook, supporting loan disbursements and business expansion. - On page 13, the mention of an outlook expecting normal 10% growth over the base year (2019-2020) indicates steady new business additions. - The company is also expanding into new sectors like renewables, irrigation, and vehicle charging, which may contribute to future order inflow. In summary, REC Limited has a substantial existing order book that supports confident growth projections and is actively pursuing new opportunities in sectors like renewable energy and infrastructure.

Capex plans

  • REC Limited is focusing on expanding its business and improving financial ratios like CRAR and debt-equity to reduce borrowing costs.
  • There may be investments related to the newly announced Development Financial Institution (DFI) for infrastructure as per the budget.
  • The company is considering investments in the National Financial Institution for Infrastructure beyond its regular lending operations.
  • Dividend policy adjustments (e.g., moderating dividend payout to 30%) are partly to facilitate capital retention for growth and investments.
  • Strategic focus areas include energy transition (renewables, transmission), irrigation, and emerging sectors like vehicle charging infrastructure.
  • They are actively involved in resolving stressed assets to strengthen the balance sheet and support future investment capacity.

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