MEP Infrastructure Developers LtdQ4 FY17

MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd Q4 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹0.64Market Cap: ₹12 CrSector: Transport Infrastructure

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • FY 17 revenue remained stable at Rs. 461 crores, in line with FY 16 Q1 despite project maturation.
  • Medium-term growth expected through strong visibility from Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects.
  • Six HAM projects awarded with order book value of Rs. 3,827 crores, commanding ~19% market share.
  • Potential new long-term projects via TOT (Toll-Operate-Transfer) model with estimated bid size of Rs. 75,000 to 1,00,000 crores.
  • TOT projects expected to provide long tenure (20-30 years) revenue streams from existing toll roads.
  • Financial closures of HAM projects anticipated between Sept-Dec 2016, enabling project commencements.
  • The company actively bidding for more long-term and TOT projects to increase order inflow.
  • Revenue growth visibility constrained by limited clarity on TOT ticket sizes but expected to improve with project clustering finalization.

See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has board approval to raise authorized share capital up to Rs. 300 crores.
  • Fundraising is planned through preferential allotment or a rights issue targeting existing shareholders and potentially fresh investors.
  • Promoters are committed to infusing a substantial portion of the required equity capital for Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects.
  • Equity requirement for six HAM projects is estimated at around Rs. 530-555 crores, with 12-15% equity component.
  • Debt-equity ratio for HAM projects is targeted around 25:75 (equity:debt), not including a 40% NHAI grant.
  • In-principle bank approvals have been received for financial closure of the six HAM projects, with closures expected between September and December 2016.
  • Debt repayment obligations for FY17 are about Rs. 100 crores, ballooning to Rs. 150+ crores in FY18 and increasing subsequently.

See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is undertaking significant capital investment related to its 6 Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects, with an aggregated project cost of around Rs. 3,800 crores.
  • Total EPC work for these projects is about Rs. 3,500 crores.
  • Indicative equity requirement is approximately 12-15%, equating to Rs. 530-555 crores, to be infused over the life of the projects.
  • The joint venture partner San Jose India will contribute 26% equity in 4 projects and 40% in 2 projects.
  • The company has board approval to raise authorized share capital to Rs. 300 crores via preferential allotment or rights issue to meet upfront equity requirements.
  • Promoters are committed to infusing a substantial portion of the required capital for equity needs of HAM projects.
  • The company is consolidating and financially closing these 6 projects, with financial closures anticipated between September to December 2016.
  • Actively monitoring and selectively participating in TOT projects, anticipating future strategic investments there.

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