
MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd Q4 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- FY 17 revenue remained stable at Rs. 461 crores, in line with FY 16 Q1 despite project maturation.
- Medium-term growth expected through strong visibility from Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects.
- Six HAM projects awarded with order book value of Rs. 3,827 crores, commanding ~19% market share.
- Potential new long-term projects via TOT (Toll-Operate-Transfer) model with estimated bid size of Rs. 75,000 to 1,00,000 crores.
- TOT projects expected to provide long tenure (20-30 years) revenue streams from existing toll roads.
- Financial closures of HAM projects anticipated between Sept-Dec 2016, enabling project commencements.
- The company actively bidding for more long-term and TOT projects to increase order inflow.
- Revenue growth visibility constrained by limited clarity on TOT ticket sizes but expected to improve with project clustering finalization.
See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
Yes- The company has board approval to raise authorized share capital up to Rs. 300 crores.
- Fundraising is planned through preferential allotment or a rights issue targeting existing shareholders and potentially fresh investors.
- Promoters are committed to infusing a substantial portion of the required equity capital for Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects.
- Equity requirement for six HAM projects is estimated at around Rs. 530-555 crores, with 12-15% equity component.
- Debt-equity ratio for HAM projects is targeted around 25:75 (equity:debt), not including a 40% NHAI grant.
- In-principle bank approvals have been received for financial closure of the six HAM projects, with closures expected between September and December 2016.
- Debt repayment obligations for FY17 are about Rs. 100 crores, ballooning to Rs. 150+ crores in FY18 and increasing subsequently.
See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- The company is undertaking significant capital investment related to its 6 Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) projects, with an aggregated project cost of around Rs. 3,800 crores.
- Total EPC work for these projects is about Rs. 3,500 crores.
- Indicative equity requirement is approximately 12-15%, equating to Rs. 530-555 crores, to be infused over the life of the projects.
- The joint venture partner San Jose India will contribute 26% equity in 4 projects and 40% in 2 projects.
- The company has board approval to raise authorized share capital to Rs. 300 crores via preferential allotment or rights issue to meet upfront equity requirements.
- Promoters are committed to infusing a substantial portion of the required capital for equity needs of HAM projects.
- The company is consolidating and financially closing these 6 projects, with financial closures anticipated between September to December 2016.
- Actively monitoring and selectively participating in TOT projects, anticipating future strategic investments there.
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