Orient Green Power Company LtdQ4 FY19
Orient Green Power Company Ltd
Q4 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →The company aims to grow its capacity from the current 472 MW to 1,000 MW, potentially within a couple of quarters (Page 13).
- →Growth will primarily come through Brownfield ventures by acquiring assets with fair tariffs and through potential reverse mergers with entities interested in the Wind sector (Page 13).
- →The company avoids bidding in current tariff tenders due to unviable low tariffs (e.g., Rs. 2.43/unit) (Page 13).
- →Post-cleanup of the balance sheet via biomass divestment and refinancing at lower interest rates, the company is poised for steady growth (Page 13).
- →Renewed interest from private equity and pension funds indicates potential support for expansion plans (Page 13).
- →Business prospects look positive backed by strategic initiatives and improving macro environment (Page 5 & 14).
Margin guidance
Category 3- →EBITDA has increased from Rs. 271 crore to Rs. 287 crore, with PBT moving from a loss of Rs. 52 crore to a positive Rs. 3 crore, marking the best-ever nine-month performance.
- →This improvement is supported by excellent grid availability (>95% in Tamil Nadu), good tariffs, and reduced finance cost by about Rs. 22 crore.
- →Sale of Biomass business reduced debt by Rs. 330 crore and removed accumulated losses.
- →REC trading has gained momentum, contributing positively to revenues.
- →The company is cautious about growth through competitive bidding due to unviable tariffs; instead, it plans growth via brownfield ventures and potential reverse mergers.
- →Equity infusion and capital restructuring are under consideration to support expansion to a 1,000 MW portfolio in coming quarters.
- →Refinance efforts aim to reduce interest rates to single-digit levels in the near term, enhancing cash flows and profitability.
- →Overall, the outlook is optimistic with steady and consistent growth expected, supported by strategic initiatives and improving macros.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →There is active interest from various parties regarding equity infusion, mergers, and reverse mergers, but no definitive decision has been made yet.
- →Discussions are ongoing, and the company will consider the best option that emerges, especially as performance improvements have attracted renewed interest.
- →The company is not currently planning promoter debt conversion to equity, and promoter debt is expected to remain classified as debt for now.
- →Refinancing efforts are underway to reduce interest rates on existing debt, with an aim to lower blended cost of debt from around 13% to single-digit levels within the next couple of quarters.
- →No immediate plans for fresh equity raising, but capital structure management and potential equity infusion will be revisited as opportunities arise.
- →Growth will focus on Brownfield ventures and possible mergers rather than tender-based expansion due to low tariffs in current tenders.
Order book
The transcript provided does not explicitly mention any current or expected order book or pending orders for Orient Green Power. However, some relevant points regarding the company's growth and expansion plans include:
- The company is aiming to grow its capacity from 472 MW to 1,000 MW, possibly within a couple of quarters.
- Growth will focus on brownfield ventures (acquiring existing assets with favorable tariffs) and potential reverse mergers with entities interested in wind assets.
- The company is not interested in bidding in current tenders due to unworkable low tariffs.
- There is renewed interest from private equity investors and pension funds in the company's cleaned-up portfolio.
- Divestments of biomass units have helped reduce debt and improve the balance sheet, positioning the company for future growth opportunities.
No specific figures or details about order book or pending orders were disclosed in the transcript.
Capex plans
Yes- →The management is poised for a growth phase after cleaning up the books through divestment of Biomass and refinancing debt.
- →Focus on increasing Wind power capacity from current 472 MW to 1,000 MW likely within a couple of quarters.
- →Growth strategy will avoid bidding in current tenders due to unviable tariffs (e.g., Rs. 2.43 per unit), considered not workable.
- →Future expansion plans include:
- → - Brownfield acquisitions of existing wind assets with fair tariffs.
- → - Potential reverse mergers or partnerships with entities interested in wind power.
- → - Discussions ongoing with private equity investors and pension funds interested in supporting expansion.
- →Equity infusion is under consideration but no definitive decision yet; capital structure management being assessed.
- →Refinancing of Rs. 1,000 crore Beta Wind Farm loan targeted at single-digit interest rates to improve cash flow for expansion.
How does Orient Green Power Company Ltd rank vs peers in Power?
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