Orient Green Power Company LtdQ1 FY19

Orient Green Power Company Ltd Q1 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹8.34P/E: 18.3Market Cap: ₹978 CrSector: Power

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • Revenue for Q1 FY19 was lower by 26% due to a late start to the wind season but recovery and "makeup" expected in subsequent quarters, especially July onwards.
  • Management confident of improving profitability and sustaining operational momentum in coming years with better wind availability.
  • Expansion plans include a 43.5 MW project in Andhra Pradesh pending tariff negotiations; project expected to start post-approval.
  • Repowering of wind mills expected, with around 1,000 MW in Tamil Nadu and 300-400 MW in Gujarat targeted by 2020.
  • Wind season performance improving compared to last year, indicating better volumes ahead.
  • Strategic initiatives, debt reduction, and improved grid availability should support consistent growth in sales and volumes.
  • REC trading revival and monetization also expected to strengthen revenue streams.
  • Expansion in solar and wind may be considered once competitive bidding stabilizes and financing costs reduce.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company is actively working to reduce interest rates on existing debt through refinancing, targeting a reduction from around 13% to single-digit levels, which could save Rs. 35-40 crore annually.
  • They have attempted Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) to raise equity for debt reduction but timing was not favorable due to prior grid backdown issues affecting investor confidence.
  • Currently, with biomass divested and improved portfolio quality, they are approaching investors interested in their wind assets for refinancing and potential growth funding.
  • Future expansion or fundraising through QIP or other equity routes is possible once interest rates ease and profitability is assured.
  • Strategic options under consideration include reverse merger possibilities (e.g., with IL&FS) and other initiatives to facilitate expansion or better capital structure.
  • No immediate large-scale equity fundraise is planned in the next couple of quarters; a "wait and watch" approach is adopted amid competitive bidding and market conditions.

See what Orient Green Power Company Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is currently negotiating with the Andhra Pradesh government for tariff rates (Rs. 4.50 to Rs. 4.70) to proceed with the planned 43.5 MW expansion in Andhra Pradesh; once finalized, funding will be raised and the project started.
  • No immediate large-scale expansions are planned due to non-viable tariffs in competitive bidding for wind and solar projects at suboptimal levels.
  • Strategic initiatives under consideration include possible reverse merger with IL&FS and other merger options to unlock growth and capital.
  • The company is actively working to reduce interest rates on existing debt to improve profitability before pursuing major capital investments.
  • Repowering of wind capacity is planned, particularly in Gujarat and Tamil Nadu, with an estimated 1,300-1,400 MW to be repowered by 2020 following emerging repowering policies.
  • Overall, expansions or capital investments are being delayed until market conditions (tariffs, interest rates) stabilize and strategic initiatives progress.

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How does Orient Green Power Company Ltd rank vs peers in Power?

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