GFLQ4 FY18

GFL Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹51.67P/E: 9.4Market Cap: ₹568 CrSector: Finance

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 3 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • PTFE segment expected to grow by 25-30% next year with new TFE and PTFE capacity commissioning by Sept-Oct 2018, plus ongoing debottlenecking.
  • Other fluoropolymers (PFA, FEP, PVDF, FKM, Micro Powders) anticipated to ramp up continuously and reach full capacity by December 2019.
  • Specialized Fluorochemicals and Specialty Polymers investments (approx. Rs 450 crores CAPEX) expected to generate Rs 800-1000 crores revenue once commissioned by end of 2018.
  • Indian demand for PTFE growing robustly (~20-25%), driven by infrastructure growth and higher performance polymer requirements.
  • Chloromethane and Caustic Chlorine segments currently at full capacity with limited growth expected in near term.
  • Overall chemical business revenues and value-added product segments projected to increase significantly in coming quarters.

See what GFL management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

- No explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the call. - Current gross debt reported around Rs 2,300 crores (consolidated), with treasury/cash of Rs 900 crores; net debt approximately Rs 1,400 crores on consolidated basis. - Standalone net debt is minimal, around Rs 23 crores. - Management indicated capital expenditure (CAPEX) going forward would be under Rs 100 crores, mostly to complete ongoing projects. - Existing significant CAPEX already incurred and reflected as capital work-in-progress. - No discussion of plans to raise fresh capital via debt or equity during the quarter or upcoming financial year. - Promoters have already complied with public shareholding requirements; no overhang expected from any promoter stake sales. Overall, Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited appears to be self-financing its growth and CAPEX, without immediate plans for new fundraising.

See what GFL management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Gujarat Fluorochemicals has ongoing capital work-in-progress (CWIP) of about Rs 350 crores as of March 31, 2018.
  • Total CAPEX including CWIP and additional investments expected to be around Rs 450 crores.
  • Projected revenue potential from this investment is around Rs 800 to Rs 1000 crores.
  • New speciality fluorochemicals and polymer plants expected to be commissioned by end of calendar year 2018, contributing to revenue from last quarter of FY18.
  • Additional investments of about Rs 100 crores expected for FY19-20 to complete ongoing projects.
  • Additional TFE and PTFE plant capacities to come on stream by September-October 2018, increasing PTFE capacity by around 30% to 1800 tons/month.
  • No large new CAPEX announced beyond completion of current projects; future CAPEX expected to be less than Rs 100 crores as most investment is already incurred.

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