
GFL Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 1
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 3 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- PTFE segment expected to grow by 25-30% next year with new TFE and PTFE capacity commissioning by Sept-Oct 2018, plus ongoing debottlenecking.
- Other fluoropolymers (PFA, FEP, PVDF, FKM, Micro Powders) anticipated to ramp up continuously and reach full capacity by December 2019.
- Specialized Fluorochemicals and Specialty Polymers investments (approx. Rs 450 crores CAPEX) expected to generate Rs 800-1000 crores revenue once commissioned by end of 2018.
- Indian demand for PTFE growing robustly (~20-25%), driven by infrastructure growth and higher performance polymer requirements.
- Chloromethane and Caustic Chlorine segments currently at full capacity with limited growth expected in near term.
- Overall chemical business revenues and value-added product segments projected to increase significantly in coming quarters.
See what GFL management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
See what GFL management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Gujarat Fluorochemicals has ongoing capital work-in-progress (CWIP) of about Rs 350 crores as of March 31, 2018.
- Total CAPEX including CWIP and additional investments expected to be around Rs 450 crores.
- Projected revenue potential from this investment is around Rs 800 to Rs 1000 crores.
- New speciality fluorochemicals and polymer plants expected to be commissioned by end of calendar year 2018, contributing to revenue from last quarter of FY18.
- Additional investments of about Rs 100 crores expected for FY19-20 to complete ongoing projects.
- Additional TFE and PTFE plant capacities to come on stream by September-October 2018, increasing PTFE capacity by around 30% to 1800 tons/month.
- No large new CAPEX announced beyond completion of current projects; future CAPEX expected to be less than Rs 100 crores as most investment is already incurred.
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What GFL's management said in earlier quarters
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