M M Forgings LtdQ4 FY24

M M Forgings Ltd Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹494.05P/E: 21.2Market Cap: ₹2.4K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • FY24 production achieved around 85,000 tons; sales at 77,000 tons.
  • FY25 production target: 92,000 to 95,000 tons.
  • Sales growth expectation for FY25: around 10%-12%.
  • Export volume growth expected at about 10% for the coming year.
  • Domestic market growth projected at 5%-7%, with an additional 3% market share gain, primarily in the second half.
  • Anticipated sales turnover growth: aiming for double-digit percentage growth (~10%).
  • Investment of INR 500 crores planned over next 12-14 months to support capacity expansion and growth.
  • Inventory reduction target: INR 50 crores to 100 crores aimed to improve working capital and sales.
  • Margin expansion expected to cross 20% by Q3/Q4 calendar year, supporting healthy profitability with volume growth.

See what M M Forgings Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

Yes
  • MM Forgings plans a total capital expenditure of INR 500 crores over the next 12 to 24 months.
  • Of this, approximately INR 300 crores will be funded through internal accruals (equity).
  • The remaining INR 200 crores will be financed by additional borrowings (debt).
  • No mention of fresh equity fundraising beyond utilizing internal accruals.
  • The company aims to maintain a dividend payout policy of around 15%-20% of profits, subject to board approval and urgent requirements.
  • This funding mix supports capacity expansion, including investments in forging, machining, and electrical/EV components.

See what M M Forgings Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • MM Forgings plans a capex of around INR 500 crores over the next 12 to 24 months.
  • INR 425 crores allocated to core forging: about INR 250 crores for machining and INR 100-150 crores for forging capacity expansion.
  • INR 75 crores is targeted towards electrical segment (Abhinava Rizel).
  • INR 400 crores of the capex expected to be spent within FY25, mainly on machining, forging, and EV motor facilities.
  • About INR 75 crores spent so far in FY24 for Abhinava Rizel, mainly on infra and testing facilities for PMSM motors.
  • Revenue potential from Abhinava Rizel capex is around INR 100 crores initially, aiming for higher growth later.
  • Funding mix: INR 300 crores from internal accruals and INR 200 crores via additional borrowings.
  • Plans to invest in green power (wind and solar) in the near future to mitigate rising power costs.

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