Transformers & Rectifiers India LtdQ3 FY23
Transformers & Rectifiers India Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹334P/E: 37.9Market Cap: ₹10.0K CrSector: Electrical Equipment
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 1
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →The company anticipates reasonable growth in order inflow, supported by a strong industry demand across sectors like Railways, Renewables, Green Energy, and Power.
- →The order book as of September 30, 2023, stands at Rs. 2,145 crore with expectations to grow to around Rs. 2,500 crore by the end of the financial year.
- →The management is targeting revenue of approximately Rs. 1,400 crore for the current year, with hopes to achieve Rs. 1,000 crore in the next two quarters.
- →Export orders under negotiation stand at around Rs. 994 crore, aiming to increase export presence, targeting 20%-25% of the order book from export markets in the next two years.
- →Current capacity can support a top line of up to Rs. 2,500 crore without major CAPEX; planned CAPEX of Rs. 50-60 crore next year focuses on new transformer segments.
- →The company is optimistic on participation in growth driven by infrastructure development, renewable energy expansion, and export opportunities.
Margin guidance
Category 1- →The company expects improved EBITDA margins going forward, with double-digit margins targeted this year and operational leverage contributing to growth.
- →Margins are anticipated to improve due to better raw material cost factors, higher-margin export orders, and a shift in order mix favoring central and industrial utilities over low-margin state utilities.
- →Substantial reduction in finance costs is expected in H2FY24, aiding profitability, with FY25 finance cost estimated between Rs 30-40 crore.
- →The order book is strong at Rs 2,145 crore, with expected order inflows of around Rs 2,500 crore by year-end, including 20-25% export share with higher margins.
- →Revenue guidance for FY24 is around Rs 1,400 crore with growth expected in H2, led by dispatch of pending orders and easing working capital constraints.
- →Expansion plans include Rs 50-60 crore CAPEX for IDT and green transformers to support future growth.
- →Overall, earnings and operating profits are expected to grow meaningfully driven by margin improvement, export growth, and better working capital.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →The company raised Rs. 120 crore through a preferential issue (equity) in October 2023, providing capital support for smooth operations.
- →There is no explicit mention of any new or planned fundraising through debt or equity beyond this preferential issue.
- →The company has fund-based limits of Rs. 163 crore, currently almost 100% utilized, and non-fund based limits around Rs. 650 crore, mainly for bank guarantees and raw material procurement.
- →CAPEX plan for the next financial year is Rs. 50-60 crore, mainly for IDT and Green transformers, but no mention of raising additional funds specifically for CAPEX.
- →Management emphasized using the current funds and expects the working capital situation to improve with payments from GETCO.
- →No clear declaration of future fundraising activities was made during the call.
Order book
Yes- →As of September 30, 2023, the unexecuted order book stands at Rs. 2,145 crore, with delivery expected over the next 18-20 months.
- →Order book composition: 34% central utilities, 11% state utilities, 40% industrial customers, 9% renewables, and 6% exports.
- →The company is targeting around Rs. 2,500 crores in total order book by the end of FY24.
- →Domestic market pipeline: Rs. 2,741 crore worth of tenders and inquiries under negotiation or bidding.
- →Export pipeline: Rs. 994 crore of orders under various negotiation stages.
- →Recent order inflow in last two quarters is about Rs. 700 crore added to the unexecuted order book.
- →The company expects sizable orders from exports, including a recent inquiry for approx Rs. 800 crore from an African country.
- →Expects export orders to contribute 20-25% of the order book within next two years.
Capex plans
Yes- →Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Limited has a planned CAPEX of Rs. 50 crore to Rs. 60 crore in the next financial year.
- →The CAPEX will mainly focus on the IDT (Induced Draft Transformer) and Green transformer segments.
- →There is no detailed evaluation yet for larger CAPEX that would be required to increase revenue from current capacity levels (~Rs. 2,500 crore) to Rs. 5,000 crore.
- →The company is taking a step-by-step approach to capacity expansion and first aims to achieve initial milestones before planning significant further investments.
How does Transformers & Rectifiers India Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?
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